1. Setting Stop-Loss Points:
1. Technical Stop-Loss Method
Support and Resistance Stop-Loss Principle: Set stop-loss below key support levels (e.g., previous lows, moving averages); breaking below confirms trend reversal.
Case: Bitcoin price forms a double bottom support at $40,000, stop-loss can be set at $39,500 (breaking below support by $500).
Technical Indicator Stop-Loss: ATR Volatility Stop-Loss: Set stop-loss range based on ATR (Average True Range), usually 1.5-3 times ATR.
Moving Average Crossover Stop-Loss: In long trades, stop-loss if it breaks below the short-term moving average (e.g., 5-day line); vice versa for short trades.
2. Fund Management Stop-Loss Method
Fixed Percentage Stop-Loss: Each trade risk does not exceed 1%-3% of account principal.
Batch Stop-Loss Strategy: Divide positions into 2-3 parts, set different stop-loss levels, balancing risk control and trend validation.
3. Pattern Break Stop-Loss
Set stop-loss below neckline when reversal patterns such as head and shoulders or double tops form.
Immediately stop-loss and exit after breaking the upward trend line (e.g., price breaks below a 45-degree upward trend line).
2. Setting Profit-Taking Points:
1. Technical Target Profit-Taking
Fibonacci Extension: In an uptrend, use the pullback low to high as a benchmark, setting the target at 1.618 times the Fibonacci extension line.
▶ Example: After BTC rises from $30,000 to $40,000 and then pulls back to $35,000, the next target = $35,000 + ($40,000 - $30,000) × 1.618 ≈ $51,180.
Previous High / Previous Low Resistance Levels: Refer to historical key price levels, such as BTC forming resistance multiple times at $60,000, and consider taking profits around this level.
2. Dynamic Profit-Taking Strategy
Moving Average Profit-Taking: When holding a long position, reduce exposure if it breaks below the 5-day moving average, and fully take profits if it breaks below the 20-day moving average.
Trailing Stop: Set a fixed number of points (e.g., 5%), and as the price reaches new highs, the stop-loss level is adjusted upwards.
3. Cycle and Sentiment Profit-Taking
Bull/Bear Cycle Profit-Taking: During the Bitcoin halving cycle, take profits in batches during the later stages of a bull market (e.g., 12-18 months after the 2024 halving).
Sentiment Indicator Profit-Taking: When the Fear and Greed Index > 90 (Extreme Greed), gradually realize profits.
Three, Differences in Stop-Loss and Profit-Taking Strategies
Strategy Type Stop-Loss Range Profit Target Typical Tools
Short-Term Trading 2%-5% Principal 10%-20% Profit ATR, 1-Hour K-line Support Resistance
Trend Trading 5%-10% Principal 50%-100% Trend Space Daily Trend Line, Fibonacci
Dollar-Cost Averaging Strategy No Single Stop-Loss Bull Market Range 300%-500% Profit Cycle Sentiment Indicators, Historical Highs
