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#山寨季何时到来? 昨天美联储停止缩表 10日降息(大概率25基点) 25日前有可能公布美联储主管继任者 主张大幅降息的(哈塞特)是热门人选 新任主管可能会推动明年的降息与扩表 如果以上利好还不能带动山寨反弹 那就足以证明山寨失效 就大饼独领行情…
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#BTC ④年周期接近尾声,但周期规律不容忽视,12月1日美联储停止缩表,12月10日降息,12月25日前有可能公布美联储主管继任者,主张大幅降息的哈塞特是热门人选,新任主管可能会推波助澜明年的降息与扩表,属于利好刺激,宏观方面看4年周期已失效,26年第2-3季度应该有波反弹的行情!
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$BTC #美国政府停摆 四年一度的牛市传统周期已接近尾声,但是本轮放水峰值迟到一年,与币市传统周期错峰,今年12月份美联储停止缩表,明年一季度预期扩表实施资产放水,明年5月份预期鸽派的美联储主管较当前宽松。 然而币市固有的周期于今年底,放水宽松姗姗来迟,导致此前行情动力长期不足,很多优质山寨币价还在谷底,唯大饼一枝独秀,接下来希望能有满意的回升!
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#BTC 4年1度的行情已打破,美联储降息断断续续,利率仍高达3.75-4%,同时保持着资产负债表紧缩,币市流动性严重不足,12月1日缩表即将结束,再加上明年第1季度鲍威尔任期结束,换上较为鸽派的新主席上任,26年持续降息到3%附近,整体来说给市场注入强心剂,后市有望走出一波像样的行情!
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币⭕️ 传统④年周期已打破
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