๐ Weekly Global Macro Recap & Crypto Impact (Aug 19โ23, 2025)
๐ Key Events This Week
Powell @ Jackson Hole: Confirmed hikes are done, but cuts only if data worsens โ boosted crypto sentiment.
US Jobless Claims: Slight rise โ signals labor market weakness, raises cut expectations.
US Inflation (PPI): +0.9% MoM (biggest in 3 years) โ inflation still sticky.
Eurozone PMI: Back in expansion, but price pressures reappear โ euro stronger, USD weaker.
ECB Signals: Possible pause in rate cuts โ divergence vs Fed.
China Data: Retail & factory output weak โ more stimulus likely, global liquidity tailwind.
Japan (BoJ): Yen stabilized; speculation over yield control โ impacts FX flows into BTC.
๐ช Crypto-Specific Highlights
Spot Bitcoin ETFs: Mixed flows but strong inflows post-Powell speech.
SEC Regulatory Shift: Work on โProject Cryptoโ for clearer rules โ positive for institutional adoption.
Market Performance:
Bitcoin: +9%
Ethereum: +11%
Altcoins: ETC, ENA, MORPHO surged +15โ19%
Markets now expect an 85% chance of a September Fed cut.
Crypto rallied hard on Powellโs dovish tilt + weaker USD outlook.
Next big triggers โ September Jobs Report & CPI.
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