After experiencing last week's plunge, will the future market crash or reverse?
This round of plummet has taken down many investment masters,
Yi Lihua's losses exceed $700 million (4.9 billion RMB), buying ETH all above $3000,
and cutting losses around $2000.
Everyone will notice that as soon as he finished cutting, the market rebounded.
But one must cut losses; what if it continues to fall?
A margin call would mean total destruction, so it's better to cut.
The future market still depends on the macro trend
(1) Current interest rate cut expectations have dropped to freezing point.
Most people believe the Federal Reserve won't cut rates in June
That's why last week's plunge occurred; currently, it's the worst situation, and it can't get much worse.
Thus, we feel that BTC is approaching the bottom
(2) But be cautious of a potential wave of declines caused by war.
The U.S. aircraft carrier strike group has entered the positions to strike Iran.
Meanwhile, the U.S. military continues to gather aircraft and ground-based air defense systems in the Middle East.
If the U.S. and Iran can't reach an agreement in Oman, it will lead to direct conflict! Probability 40%.
So prepare for another drop.
Trump's approval rating has significantly decreased; if war breaks out, the Republican midterm elections will be doomed.
So the good news is that Trump also doesn't want to fight.
(3) Japanese Prime Minister Kishi Nobuo leads the Liberal Democratic Party to a great victory
They will adopt active fiscal policies to stimulate the economy,
In simple terms, it means suppressing interest rate increases, the government will print more money,
which is beneficial for BTC and other risk assets.
Otherwise, if the Bank of Japan raises interest rates sharply, funds profiting from the U.S. will flow back domestically in large quantities, which will be bearish for the crypto market.
Objectively speaking, BTC is now approaching the bottom, which is still reliable.
Now is not the time to cut losses; hold on for a rebound,
Once the Iran issue is resolved, there will be a strong rebound.
This week's key focus
This Wednesday at 21:30, non-farm payroll data will be released,
This Friday at 21:30, CPI data will be released.
This round of plummet has taken down many investment masters,
Yi Lihua's losses exceed $700 million (4.9 billion RMB), buying ETH all above $3000,
and cutting losses around $2000.
Everyone will notice that as soon as he finished cutting, the market rebounded.
But one must cut losses; what if it continues to fall?
A margin call would mean total destruction, so it's better to cut.
The future market still depends on the macro trend
(1) Current interest rate cut expectations have dropped to freezing point.
Most people believe the Federal Reserve won't cut rates in June
That's why last week's plunge occurred; currently, it's the worst situation, and it can't get much worse.
Thus, we feel that BTC is approaching the bottom
(2) But be cautious of a potential wave of declines caused by war.
The U.S. aircraft carrier strike group has entered the positions to strike Iran.
Meanwhile, the U.S. military continues to gather aircraft and ground-based air defense systems in the Middle East.
If the U.S. and Iran can't reach an agreement in Oman, it will lead to direct conflict! Probability 40%.
So prepare for another drop.
Trump's approval rating has significantly decreased; if war breaks out, the Republican midterm elections will be doomed.
So the good news is that Trump also doesn't want to fight.
(3) Japanese Prime Minister Kishi Nobuo leads the Liberal Democratic Party to a great victory
They will adopt active fiscal policies to stimulate the economy,
In simple terms, it means suppressing interest rate increases, the government will print more money,
which is beneficial for BTC and other risk assets.
Otherwise, if the Bank of Japan raises interest rates sharply, funds profiting from the U.S. will flow back domestically in large quantities, which will be bearish for the crypto market.
Objectively speaking, BTC is now approaching the bottom, which is still reliable.
Now is not the time to cut losses; hold on for a rebound,
Once the Iran issue is resolved, there will be a strong rebound.
This week's key focus
This Wednesday at 21:30, non-farm payroll data will be released,
This Friday at 21:30, CPI data will be released.