#RedSeptember "Red September" refers to a historical phenomenon observed in the cryptocurrency market, especially involving Bitcoin. Traditionally, September is considered a weak month, marked by corrections, declines, and volatility — hence the nickname "Red September".
Since 2013, Bitcoin has shown negative performance in September 8 out of the last 11 times, with average losses of approximately 3.8%. In recent years, this decline has softened — reaching around -2.5% — indicating a possible maturation and greater resilience of the market due to institutional presence.
Analysts debate whether this pattern will continue or if it is a product of a self-fulfilling prophecy — with traders acting in advance out of caution and amplifying potential declines. At this moment, factors such as Fed decisions, geopolitical conflicts, and liquidity indicators should be closely monitored, as they can act as catalysts — or brakes — for this supposed "curse" of September.
In summary, "Red September" is a market expression that warns of a possible historical weakness in September, but which is now being reconsidered in light of the evolution of the institutional and macroeconomic landscape.
