Okay — here is the updated analysis and forecast for #Ethereum (#ETH) as of now.
🔍 Current situation
ETH is currently trading at approximately $4,527.
Support levels: around $4,500, further approximately $4,400.
Resistance levels: on the way — $4,600, then $4,800.
📉 Risk / weakness signals
On-chain metrics show that a large portion of circulating ETH is currently "in profit". This may stimulate short-term profit taking.
Reduced metrics in derivatives: the ratio between aggressive buyers and sellers (taker buy/sell ratio) is declining. This adds to the likelihood of corrections.
Historically, September tends to be a weak month for ETH.
📈 Potential growth paths / bullish scenario
If ETH can hold above support at ~$4,500–$4,490, it may attempt to break around $4,665–$4,700.
With a successful breakout and volume confirmation, the target may be in the range of $4,800, then — $5,000.
A further more optimistic scenario (with significant institutional support, healthy volumes) could push ETH even higher.
🚨 Potential drop scenariosIf the level of ~$4,490 is not held, a drop to $4,365–$4,326 is possible as the next support zone.
In the case of strong negative momentum — a pullback to ~$4,200.
🧮 Forecast
PeriodProbable range / level
Short-term (a few days):$4,500 — $4,800, with high volatility; the main point — whether it can bounce off $4,500 support.
Medium-term (week-two):If there is a breakout, possibly $5,000; if weakness — a correction to $4,300-4,400.
By the end of 2025, bullish forecasts suggest $6,000-$7,500 in the case of strong institutional demand and favorable regulatory conditions.


