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美少女壮士Alita - blue bird
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Old Bao's words are still worth listening to 🍀🍀good luck fomc day🍀🍀
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美少女壮士Alita - blue bird
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发现机构成本价ETF Cost Basis与BTC价格关系， 近两年来自从机构入场后每次BTC阶段性顶底其实都非常有规律， BTC价格几乎每次比各机构ETF成本价高50%左右的时候，就会获利了结, 直到BTC价格再次回调到etf的cost basis成本价附近, 开启下一轮上涨行情。 图中截取了几个关键时间节点无一例外（绿线为etf机构均价）：21/Jan/2025, 08/April, 13/Aug, 06/Oct，22/Nov, 直到目前ETF机构平均价仍然保持在83.4k左右，伴随美联储Rmp购债将流动性从枯竭逐步回归到3万亿以上正常水平，或许BTC阶段性底部已经过去。 极端情况下，在2024年6月，BTC价格最多低于ETF各机构平均成本价10%，就反弹了。 —— Found a massive correlation between Institutional ETF Cost Basis and #BTC price action. Since institutions entered, the pattern for tops and bottoms has been consistent: 1️⃣ Top Signal: When BTC is 50% above ETF Cost Basis → Profit taking triggers correction. 2️⃣ Bottom Signal: Price retraces to the Cost Basis → Next rally begins. Validated across key dates: Jan 21, Apr 8, Aug 13, Oct 6, Nov 22. (Green line = ETF Avg). Current Outlook: • ETF Cost Basis: 83.4k • Fed RMP liquidity is returning to normal levels >3T. The stage bottom is likely behind us. Even in the extreme case of June '24, BTC only dipped 10% below cost before bouncing. #bitcoin #crypto #ETFs
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其实仔细观察all交易所综合下来的资金费率，只要保持目前低正费率（低于0.005%）or负费率状态，价格或许还可以稳稳回升到100k附近，当然是在宏观不再有意外的情况下。 离10号降息也不远了，希望维持低波动率的状态下能有个安稳的周末。近半年来只要资费接近0.01%，价格必回调，市场越谨慎，上涨机会越大。 ———— If you look closely at the aggregated funding rates across all exchanges, as long as they stay at the current low positive level (below 0.005%) or turn negative, the price might still be able to steadily climb back toward the 100k area — assuming there are no new macro surprises. The rate cut on the 10th isn’t far off either, so hopefully we can have a calm weekend with low volatility. Over the past half year, whenever funding has approached 0.01%, the price has always pulled back. The more cautious the market is, the greater the upside potential.
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给刚买的Mac配上了颗坚强的心脏🫀，都开始分析微策略的四种死亡姿势了，请问现在是什么阶段？ The newly purchased Mac has been equipped with a strong heart 🫀, and it’s already analyzing MicroStrategy's four possible outcomes of demise. So, what stage are we at right now?
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跌麻了 想起@wolfyxbt 的价值观修整器 还是对自己好点吧 现实世界花出去的钱才算拥有过 加个外出便携看k线的电脑 这个月亏的钱能买无数台mac了🫣🫣🫣 每次web3亏钱都想在web2花钱 赚的时候反而web2花的更谨慎了 这到底是种什么心理？
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报复性波段doge的猫好可爱
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