I'm looking at the current charts and I see something that worries me. The market is rising, enthusiasm is returning, and in the groups, we can again hear about 'to the moon.' But is this really a healthy rise, or is it a perfectly set trap for new players?
Notice one thing: many people have been desperately buying the dips over the last few months just to lower their average purchase price (DCA). Now, when the price has finally moved, those same people are not thinking about holding the project for years. They only think about breaking even and escaping the market with relief.
We have two scenarios here, and I'm curious which one you are betting on:
Scenario A: This is the beginning of a true supercycle, and institutions are buying every correction because they know something we don't.
Scenario B: This is a classic Bull Trap. Whales pump the price to create optimism, into which 'fresh blood' will enter, giving them the perfect opportunity to unload heavy bags.
Is buying more now courage or just greed? Or maybe the projects that have been 'bought to zero' will never return to their peaks, because their only fuel now is the fear of those who just want to get their money back?
Let me know in the comments: Are you buying these increases, or are you placing sell orders and waiting for a deeper reset?
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