1️⃣ Analysis of the weekly chart On the chart: Peak listing: ~3$ Lowest point: 0.403$ Current price: 0.688$ Typical pattern of a newly listed coin: Phase 1 – Listing pump hype + liquidity spike up to 3$ Phase 2 – Distribution whales dumping price continuously Phase 3 – Accumulation starting to create a bottom volume decreasing 👉 Aster is currently in Phase 3. 2️⃣ What does the volume indicate? Volume is: gradually decreasing no more panic sell This usually means: selling supply has dwindled But: there are no signs of large money returning. 3️⃣ Weekly RSI RSI ~41 This indicates: the coin has escaped the oversold region but there is no strong upward momentum. Typically: Altcoins start to bull when the weekly RSI >50. 4️⃣ Aster project fundamentals Aster belongs to the sector: DeFi infrastructure Main products: derivatives liquidity layer cross-chain DeFi tools Goal: to create multi-chain DeFi liquidity infrastructure. 5️⃣ Why did CZ mention Aster? Changpeng Zhao once mentioned projects: DeFi infra cross-chain liquidity Because: this is an important piece of DeFi. 6️⃣ Potential buying zone I estimate: 0.3 – 0.5$ Chart analysis: 0.6-0.8$ sideways zone 0.4-0.5$ strong support 0.3$ capitulation zone 0.4-0.5$ best buying zone 7️⃣ According to the BTC scenario If Bitcoin: BTC 65k – 70k - Aster: 0.5 – 0.7 BTC 60k - Aster: 0.35 – 0.5 BTC strong bull - Aster: 1.5 – 3 8️⃣ Long-term target Assuming Aster's market cap: Price 5$ FDV 40B Price 10$ FDV 80B Price 20$ FDV 160B If DeFi explodes in the next cycle: Target 10–20$ could happen. 9️⃣ Risk/Reward if buying in the 0.4 zone Risk: 0.4 → 0.25 ~40% decrease Reward: 0.4 → 10$ 👉 x25 This is a very good R:R for long-term investment. 🔟 Major risks of Aster 1️⃣ new project → has not proven product-market fit 2️⃣ extremely strong DeFi competition 3️⃣ tokenomics may unlock a lot. 1️⃣1️⃣ Conclusion for Aster Advantages: ✔ narrative DeFi infra ✔ small market cap ✔ attention from the Binance ecosystem Disadvantages: ⚠ project is still very early ⚠ no large money flow yet. 👉 Reasonable strategy: accumulate 0.4 – 0.5 hold cycle. Target: 5 – 10$ If extremely bullish: 15 – 20$. 💡 But there is one very notable thing: The weekly chart of **Aster is 80% similar to the chart of GMX in 2021 before it went x30. If this scenario repeats, Aster could be a hidden gem in the next DeFi cycle.