1️⃣ Meaning of OTHERS/BTC
This index measures: money flow into altcoin small / compared to BTC
If:
OTHERS/BTC rises → money leaves BTC → altseason
If it decreases → money into BTC → BTC dominance
2️⃣ Historical altcoin cycle
Cycle 2016–2018
After Bitcoin rises sharply:
2017: OTHERS/BTC exploded
Altcoin:
x20
x100
Cycle 2020–2021
After BTC reached ATH:
2021: OTHERS/BTC increased ~7x
Altcoins:
Solana x200
Polygon x100
Avalanche x80
3️⃣ Chart 6M others/BTC
On the 6-month frame:
There are 3 extremely strong signals:
1. break 4-year downtrend
the trendline from 2021 has been tested multiple times
currently: attempting breakout
2. create higher low
2023 → 2025 higher lows → long-term reversal structure
3. volume increases
altcap volume is increasing sharply.
This usually happens 6–12 months before altseason.
4️⃣ Monthly frame chart
On the M frame:
Has pattern: descending wedge
This is the model: 👉 bullish reversal
Probability of breakout: ~70%.
5️⃣ What will trigger altseason 2026
Altseason usually occurs when:
1️⃣ BTC stabilizes
If BTC: 90k – 120k sideways.
2️⃣ BTC dominance decreases
BTC.D must decrease: 55% → 45%
3️⃣ new narrative emerges
2026 could be:
AI crypto
RWA
DePIN
New GameFi
6️⃣ Which altcoin will benefit the most
AI narrative
Fetch.ai
Bittensor
The Graph
AI is the strongest narrative of the new cycle.
DePIN
Render
Filecoin
Layer 1
Solana
Sui
Meme
Pepe
Bonk
Meme always runs at the end of the cycle.
7️⃣ How will altcoin cash flow in 2026 run
Generally:
Phase 1 BTC pump
Phase 2 large cap alt
ETH
SOL
Phase 3 Mid cap
AI
DeFi
Phase 4 Small cap
meme
8️⃣ Timeline prediction 2026
Q2 2026
BTC: 80k – 100k
alts start to run.
Q3 2026
altseason clearly.
Q4 2026
parabolic phase.
9️⃣ Average increase of altcoins
In altseason:
Large cap x5-10
Mid cap x10-30
Small cap x30-100
🔟 Assessment
Chart OTHERS/BTC currently resembles: beginning of the cycle 2020
If history repeats:
altcoin marketcap could: 5T → 12T
📊 Conclusion
Two charts Others/BTC show:
altcoin has created a cycle bottom
is preparing for breakout
If breakout is successful:
👉 2026 will be the largest altseason year ever.
💡 And there is one extremely important thing that very few people notice:
This cycle's altseason may not be driven by DeFi like in 2021...
which is driven by AI + DePIN.
If so, then coins like:
Bittensor
Render
The Graph
Especially AIXBT
could become the SOL of the new cycle.
