Futures drop, crude oil surges, what does the crypto world say
分析师舒琴
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Will there be extreme market conditions on Monday?! Oil prices have gone crazy, will the market open even crazier on Monday? The US stock market has significantly adjusted, can Bitcoin stand alone? Let's take a look. 1. Trump is in a difficult position this time; previously, he arrested Maduro, causing Venezuela to quickly kneel down and become path-dependent, thinking that if he killed Khamenei this time, he could quickly take down Iran, but they are playing the card of fighting to the death!
2. So now Trump is also anxious, what to do when trapped by Iran? Increase positions. The third aircraft carrier, the Ford, is already heading to the battlefield, while Iran continues to launch attacks relying on drones, a low-cost and high-kill weapon, with Russia providing satellite positioning.
3. Therefore, this market trend might turn out to be similar to last year's tariffs, with a significant crash until Trump can no longer hold on, forcibly declaring his victory to cut losses timely. The cryptocurrency market and US stocks will then welcome an epic rebound. However, this might have to wait for a few weeks.
4. The market is very worried about the opening on Monday; oil and US stock futures will open at 6 AM tomorrow, and the situation is not optimistic. However, in the cryptocurrency market, it's still manageable because it's 24-hour trading. It has already dropped significantly in the past two days, so the impact will be smaller.
5. In the short term, $BTC is well supported around the 67,000 mentioned by Shu Qin yesterday; there was a drop around noon today, and then it rebounded, so it might be a false breakdown. However, it’s a bit unstable; it’s okay to not do much. The safest approach is still to wait for it to rebound a bit, for example, I will reallocate the previously cashed 30% short positions when it reaches the resistance area of 69,000 and 70,000, just depending on whether the market gives the opportunity.
6. Currently, the overall trend is still downward, and the bearish factors have not been lifted. However, I will not be surprised if a rebound occurs after such a significant drop; in this case, we can add to our shorts at the high points of the rebound. Our long-term short positions, starting from 74,000, have already made a good profit; let’s keep working hard, regardless of whether it rises or falls, there are trading opportunities!
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