Complete Cycle of the Current Bear Market in the Cryptocurrency Circle (2025.10–2027 Prediction)

Starting point: BTC peaked at $126,000 in October 2025.

1. Current Stage: Mid-Bear Market (February 2026 – Mid-2026)

Duration: About 5 and a half months

- Characteristics: Weak rebounds, mainly gradual declines, occasional sharp drops

- Position: ≤30%

- Operation: Only small buys on minor dips, accumulate in batches during significant drops, reduce on rebounds

2. Next Stage: Late Bear Market (Late 2026 – Early 2027)

- Characteristics:

- Indifference to bad news, unable to fall further

- Extremely low trading volume, no one talks about coins

- Fear and Greed Index stays below 10 for a long time

- This is the stage to truly pick up bargains

- Operation: Start to gradually increase position, buy more as it falls

3. Bull Market Return: Around Mid-2027

- Halving effect + interest rate cut cycle resonance

- Characteristics:

- Continuous bullish candles, breaking key resistance

- More news, new investors entering

- Operation: Mainly hold, do not exit easily

Here’s a most practical summary for you

- Now: The bear market has gone about halfway, it’s not at the bottom yet.

- Next 3–6 months: Still relatively cold, controlling hands is the most important.

- Second half of 2026 – early 2027: This is likely to be the true major bottom.