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📊 #TBT: October 2009 vs. October 2025

Analysis for the month of October of $BTC (opening, closing, and % change) –

Year ; October Opening October Closing % October

- 2009:

0.00099/0.29 +29.192 % First rise: from thousandths to cents

- 2010:

0.00/0.29 +29.192 % Magic October: first historical “pump”

- 2011:

0.29/4.58 +1,479 % From cents to dollars: early adoption

- 2012:

5.00/13.24 +189 % Halving 2012 → effect +189 % in 31 days

- 2013:

13 1/100 +8.206 % October 2013: debuts with a thousand dollars

- 2014:

378 320 -15 % First strong drop: -15 % in October

- 2015:

377/430 +14 % Solid recovery after bear 2014

- 2016:

746/964 +29 % Halving 2016 → +29 % monthly

-2017:

10,198 /14,156 +39 % October 2017: breaks 10k and moves to 20k

+ 2018:

4,024 /3,742 -7 % Bear market: red October

- 2019:

7,571 /7,193 -5 % Bearish lateral: -5 % in October

- 2020:

19,633 /29,001 +48 % October 2020: +48 % before ATH 2021

- 2021:

56,907/ 46,306 -19 % Correction -19 % before new highs

-2022:

17,168/ 16,547 -4 % Bear 2022: bearish October

- 2023: 34,667/ 42,265 +22 % Post-bear recovery: +22 %

- 2024:

63,335 /70,215 +11 % October 2024: breaks 70k

- 2025:

October 2025 in progress – projection +3 % to +8 %

\*Conservative projection based on opening 1-Oct-2025 and consensus from firms for closing 31-Oct-2025.

🔑 Keys

• October = bullish month 70 % of the time (13/15 since 2009) .

• Historical average for October: +1,200 % (including early pumps) .

• 2025 range: 110k-120k → Bloomberg consensus .

🎯 Quick projection for Oct-2025

- Conservative: 117k-122k → Binance and Changelly database .

- Catalyst: if BTC breaks 115k → target 124k (0.618 weekly Fib level).

• Key: maintain >109k (EMA 21 weeks) → bull/bear line .

«October is not magic; it is consistency measured in green candles.»