Uptober returns: why Bitcoin tends to soar in the last quarter
Every year, despite macroeconomic turbulence and market volatility, Bitcoin shows a pattern that repeats with almost surgical precision: its most powerful rally occurs between October and December. This seasonality, popularly known as "Uptober", is not a mere coincidence; it responds to macroeconomic, behavioral, and technical factors that have historically driven the price at the end of the year.
October, November, and December: the most bullish triptych for Bitcoin
According to data collected by Cryptoquant since 2013, the fourth quarter is consistently the most profitable for Bitcoin. While August (-0.54%) and September (-4.16%) tend to deliver flat or negative returns, October (+21.89%), November (+46.02%), and December (+4.75%) have significantly outperformed the historical monthly average.
This behavior has been so consistent that the term Uptober has become a sort of mantra among investors. October, in particular, not only represents a positive month but also serves as a turning point in the annual cycle, activating the bullish phase that usually extends until the end of December.
