📰 How I Anticipate Movements in Key Economic News
I will be honest: this topic often makes many fundamental traders uncomfortable. But after years of observing the market, I realized something that completely changed my way of viewing high-impact events: news always reacts at weekly or daily levels.
Yes, I am talking about NFPs, CPIs, the FOMC meetings… all those announcements that move the market explosively. Over time, I found that these impulses are not as unpredictable as they seem. In fact, two days prior, you can already see signs of where the price will move.
📌 Clear example: before an NFP, I check the dollar chart on a daily timeframe. On more than one occasion, I have seen a double bottom form accompanied by divergence. That was the signal that the price had everything to rise after the publication. And indeed, in the first reaction, there was an aggressive wick, but the structure had already been written on the chart beforehand.
The key is to understand how to trade it:
1️⃣ The first candle after the news usually has a large wick. That wick is pure volatility and liquidity sweep. There you can make a quick scalp: you enter, capture the impulse, and exit.
2️⃣ If you prefer safety, wait an hour. That time allows the market to retest the weekly or daily level and gives a much cleaner confirmation. From there, you can “ride the wave” and take advantage of the real movement.
This taught me that it’s not about guessing the figure of the economic data, but about reading the chart in advance. Technical levels dictate, and news acts as the catalyst that accelerates the movement that was already prepared.
Nowadays, when I hear someone fears the NFP or CPI, I see them as opportunities. The chart always warns, you just have to have the patience to wait for it and the discipline not to get caught up in the euphoria of the moment.
💬 Thank you for reading. If you want to learn more about how I prepare my analyses before news and how I take advantage of those impulses, write to me. Have a great day and good trades!

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