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📊 BTC Update: Nov 23, 2025 → Dec 28, 2025 Price Drop & Risk-Off Sentiment In late November, BTC dropped sharply, falling below $90,000, hitting a multi-month low. The decline is being driven by macro headwinds—investors are worried about future U.S. interest rate cuts. According to Forbes, BTC fell below ~$86,000 around Nov 20, amid forced liquidations and weakening risk appetite. On-Chain & Institutional Behavior There’s evidence that long-term BTC holders are selling more aggressively than usual, which is worrying for market confidence. At the same time, exchange reserves are relatively low, suggesting supply is tight. Derivative markets show reduced leverage: BTC open interest dropped to a 7-month low. ETF Outflows U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw significant outflows during November, worsening the downturn. This reflects a broader institutional pullback, not just retail weakness, which adds to market fragility. Macro Pressures The U.S. Federal Reserve seems less likely to cut rates soon, reducing the “easy money” narrative. Cross-asset risk-off behavior: equity markets are also under pressure, which is dragging down BTC. Liquidity conditions are worsening: order-book depth for BTC has shrunk, making the drops more volatile. Sentiment The Fear & Greed Index for crypto dropped to 10 (“Extreme Fear”), indicating very depressed investor sentiment. Some on-chain analysts are talking about a potential bottoming-out, but it's unclear whether we're there yet — a strong bullish catalyst is needed. Reddit and investor forums are debating if 2026 could bring a major “unwinding” due to institutional de-risking. Possible base formation: There's some talk (on-chain + from analysts) of BTC finding a floor, but it's not “confirmed” — a strong macro or institutional catalyst may be required. If you like, I can run a chart-based technical analysis (with support/resistance zones) for BTC for end-2025 to mid-2026, based on current trends — do you want me to do that? #BTC #newupdate

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🔍 What’s New with MET (Meteora) Spot Listing Binance Binance has listed Meteora (#BTCVolatility MET) on its spot market. Trading pairs: MET/USDT, MET/USDC, and MET/TRY. There’s a 3,400,000 MET voucher reward campaign for the listing. Deposit opened ~1 hour before trading; withdrawals opened a day later. Because it’s tagged as a “Seed Tag” token, Binance requires a risk-quiz every 90 days to trade it. MEXC MEXC will list MET under its Innovation Zone. Trading pairs: MET/USDT and MET/USDC on MEXC. Convert feature available — you can convert other assets to MET. Promotion: 0 trading fees on MET/USDT from Oct 23 to Nov 6, 2025. Bitget Bitget has listed MET in its Innovation & DeFi zone. The MET/USDT pair will be tradable from 23 October 2025, 14:00 UTC. Withdrawals open on 24 October 2025, 15:00 UTC. OKX OKX announced spot trading for MET. Deposit window: opened 22 October 2025, 03:00 UTC. Exact start time for spot trading was not immediately disclosed. BitKan BitKan listed MET/USDT for spot trading. They’re running a listing event: for new users (KYC level 1), there’s a $5,000 USDT prize pool. ⚠️ Risks & Things to Watch MET is new on some exchanges, so liquidity could be lower early on — which means more price volatility. “Seed-tag” tokens (like on Binance) often come with higher risk and stricter trading conditions. Always double-check the contract address to ensure you're trading the correct MET (Solana-based, in this case). Promotions (like “zero-fee” or “voucher rewards”) are great, but they also might drive speculative activity. If you like, I can check the current trading volume, price impact since listing, and major exchanges where MET is now available — do you want me to do that?

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📈 Why BTC Could Go Up (Bull Case for 2025–2026) 1. Institutional & ETF Adoption Some big players expect continued inflows via spot Bitcoin ETFs. Coin Metrics projects that with rising adoption and lower issuance (post-halving), BTC might test $140K–$170K. 2. Supply Scarcity Fixed supply (21 million BTC) + halving mechanism → creates long-term scarcity. 3. Macro Tailwinds Some analysts foresee macro conditions (like favorable regulation or liquidity) supporti.BTC. If interest rates go down or traditional markets become less attractive, capital might flow to BTC. (Some fund managers argue this.) 4. Cycle Momentum Historically, Bitcoin has moved in cycles, and many think we’re still in a bull cycle or could extend into 2026. According to some, BTC’s next major peak could be driven by both institutional accumulation and broader adoption. --- ⚠️ Risks That Could Push BTC Down or Cause Volatility 1. Macro Risks Economic slowdown, rising interest rates, or a liquidity crunch could hurt BTC demand. 2. Regulatory Uncertainty While some regulation is favorable, stricter rules (or unfavorable ones) could dampen BTC’s growth or institutional adoption. 3. Competition Other blockchains (like Ethereum, Solana, etc.) might draw capital away if they offer more utility (smart contracts, DeFi). 4. Profit-Taking / Cycle Peak If BTC hits a strong high, there could be a meaningful correction — some think 2026 could be a consolidation or even a “mini-bear” year. Some argue that the traditional 4-year halving cycle is becoming less relevant, meaning less predictable supply shocks. 📊 My Take (for This “Met X” / New Spot Listing Year) Short to Medium Term (1-2 years): I lean bullish, with a good chance BTC goes up. The ETF story + institutional demand are very strong tailwinds, and if BTC continues to be seen as a store-of-value, adoption could accelerate. However, I expect significant volatility: even on the way up, there could be big corrections or pullbacks. #BTCVolatility #BTC2026 #BTCUpdate2025

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