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加密尤
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The Shamate has reached 3m, haven't earned anything, why is no one speaking up?
#杀马特
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美联储本月降息25bp的概率高达96.7%—— 美国劳工部前两天上班了，公布的9月CPI数据整体低于预期，为10月份进一步降息扫清了障碍。 12月累计降息50bp概率达95.8%，市场几乎已经定价了宽松。这意味着： 1️⃣流动性回归，但风险也随之复活 降息是资本的起点信号，它会推动美债收益率下行、美元走弱、资产价格上行。但如果通胀再起，市场会立刻怀疑这次降息是不是太早，从而制造二次波动。 2️⃣刻舟求剑：币圈会是流动性最先渗透的地方 历史上，降息初期往往伴随风险偏好修复——比特币在9月降息后一周涨了7%，以太坊涨18%。 ETF资金连续5日净流入620亿美元，说明机构并没退场，只是在等确认信号——比如降息正式落地。 #美联储降息预期
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