When the green bars on the market software keep stretching, many crypto investors frown at the value of "Fear and Greed Index 22".
This is the lowest point since the beginning of the year, just a step away from "extreme fear".
But the wonder of the market lies in the fact that the bottom of panic often hides opportunities.
Looking back over the past four years, whether it was the black swan impact in 2020, the sharp drop and adjustment in 2021,
or the oscillation and bottoming out in 2023, as long as the index falls to around 20, the signals of a rebound will quietly emerge.
The current market seems to be shrouded in anxiety, but the medium- to long-term support logic has never wavered. The Federal Reserve has clearly entered a rate-cutting cycle,
and the loose liquidity environment has provided a soil for risky assets;
the previously noisy altcoin market has gone through a complete bubble cleanup, with inferior assets being eliminated, which instead allows funds to focus more on valuable projects;
the introduction of stablecoin legislation has cleared key obstacles to industry compliance;
and the advancement of blue-chip coin ETFs and crypto regulatory frameworks is building a "safety barrier" for the industry. These are not short-term variables, but rather the core pillars supporting the market.
The current hesitance in the market mostly stems from short-term disturbances from war and tariffs. These uncertainties act like a thin mist, temporarily obscuring the growth trajectory of the industry, but the mist will eventually clear.
Once these external disturbances fade, the market will naturally return to its original growth rhythm.
If we stretch the timeline, we will find that the current market rhythm is remarkably similar to that of 2021.
In that year, the first half was dominated by greed, followed by a sharp drop into panic territory, experiencing a rebound before hitting the bottom again, ultimately starting a new bull market.
Today's script is almost a replica — only this year's greed emotions played out early after Trump's election victory and trade war news,
and the current wave of panic happens to fall within the same time window: mid-October.
This may not be a coincidence, but rather an inevitability of the market sentiment cycle.
As the tide of panic gradually recedes, those long-term values concealed by emotions will eventually reassert themselves, pushing the crypto market back onto its proper growth track.
In fact, the crypto world has never relied on luck; finding the right method and having someone guide you can turn even the toughest situations around. @财神爷说币