🚨 Big update from CME Group’s FedWatch tool:
Markets are pricing in a ~99.5% chance that the Federal Reserve holds rates steady in April 🤷♀️
For June, expectations are still cautious — around 95% probability of no change, with only a small chance of a rate cut and almost zero expectation of a hike.
Simple translation:
The Fed is very likely to stay on pause for the next couple of meetings. That keeps the “higher-for-longer” environment intact — not great for risk-heavy assets in the short term.
At the same time, even a small probability of a June cut is enough to keep the “pivot coming soon” narrative alive in the background.
This explains why Bitcoin and the broader market have been moving sideways lately — traders aren’t committing hard in either direction, just waiting for a clear signal from the Fed.
So right now, the market mood is basically:
➡️ No immediate relief
➡️ But no panic either
➡️ Everyone watching for the first sign of easing
The real question:
Are you positioning for a delayed pivot… or bracing for more sideways volatility?
#fedwatch2026 #RAVEWildMoves #NewsAboutCrypto #CMEFedwatch #BTC