š The Federal Reserveās Most Important Decision of the Year Is Coming
All eyes are on the upcoming FOMC meeting on October 29, 2025, where markets widely expect a 0.25% rate cut, bringing the target range down to 3.75% ā 4.00%.
But the real story isnāt about interest rates ā itās about the Fedās stance on Quantitative Tightening (QT), the process of shrinking its balance sheet and draining liquidity from markets.
š Why QT Matters More Than the Rate Cut
A rate cut makes borrowing cheaper, but slowing or pausing QT injects real liquidity back into the system ā the lifeblood of financial markets.
If the Fed signals a slowdown or end to QT, it could mark the start of a new liquidity wave fueling risk assets across global markets.
š° Expected Market Impacts
Stock Markets:
Any hint of a QT pause could push equities higher, as investors anticipate easier financial conditions and a return of ācheap money.ā
Crypto Markets:
Digital assets are extremely sensitive to liquidity flows. A QT slowdown or dovish tone from the Fed could trigger a mini bull run, especially in coins like $BTC , $ETH , and $SOL .
Gold:
A softer dollar from rate cuts and increased liquidity could give gold renewed strength, possibly retesting its yearly highs .
š Bottom Line:
A 25-basis-point rate cut is already priced in. The real market-moving decision is what happens with QT.
If the Fed eases up on balance-sheet tightening, expect a wave of optimism across stocks, crypto, and gold.
If it stays cautious, volatility may spike as investors reassess liquidity risks heading into 2026.


