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What do you think about the future market trends? A few points:
1. It's still the same old saying, if the US and Iran continue to fight, the market will drop; if they stop fighting, the market will rise. This underlying logic has been detailed in a previous long article.
2. Currently, when looking at the progress of US-Iran negotiations, don’t pay attention to what they say, but rather what they are doing and what they want. This kind of news is not really directed at the other side but is rather a message to their own people, or we could say to the global public. It does not reflect the real situation.
3. I still believe that both sides will eventually sign a ceasefire agreement. The previous tug-of-war, in my opinion, was merely an attempt to gain leverage at the negotiation table. Leverage is not gained through words, but rather through actual action. Iran claims it can control the Strait of Hormuz, and opening the strait is a significant concession; the US proves it can control it too, and opening the strait is not actually a concession...
I see that some friends are very focused on the differences in negotiations: they say there is no middle ground on enriched uranium, there is no middle ground in the Strait of Hormuz, and there is no middle ground on whether to pay war reparations, etc...
But in fact, public opinion can be glossed over. Its essence is quite similar to buying clothes at a roadside stall, where prices are inflated, and you negotiate on the spot. The so-called conflicts and differences, under the condition that both sides have a demand for a ceasefire, are not a big deal.
The wheels are rolling towards you, and you are only fixated on a big stone ahead, which is meaningless. Because the problem is not significant; it’s just that the ride might be a bit bumpy. $BTC
1. It's still the same old saying, if the US and Iran continue to fight, the market will drop; if they stop fighting, the market will rise. This underlying logic has been detailed in a previous long article.
2. Currently, when looking at the progress of US-Iran negotiations, don’t pay attention to what they say, but rather what they are doing and what they want. This kind of news is not really directed at the other side but is rather a message to their own people, or we could say to the global public. It does not reflect the real situation.
3. I still believe that both sides will eventually sign a ceasefire agreement. The previous tug-of-war, in my opinion, was merely an attempt to gain leverage at the negotiation table. Leverage is not gained through words, but rather through actual action. Iran claims it can control the Strait of Hormuz, and opening the strait is a significant concession; the US proves it can control it too, and opening the strait is not actually a concession...
I see that some friends are very focused on the differences in negotiations: they say there is no middle ground on enriched uranium, there is no middle ground in the Strait of Hormuz, and there is no middle ground on whether to pay war reparations, etc...
But in fact, public opinion can be glossed over. Its essence is quite similar to buying clothes at a roadside stall, where prices are inflated, and you negotiate on the spot. The so-called conflicts and differences, under the condition that both sides have a demand for a ceasefire, are not a big deal.
The wheels are rolling towards you, and you are only fixated on a big stone ahead, which is meaningless. Because the problem is not significant; it’s just that the ride might be a bit bumpy. $BTC