Evaluation of Bitcoin Price: The Upcoming Shift is Contingent on This Crucial Point

With the recent U.S.-China trade alignment and the Federal Reserve’s rate cut easing macroeconomic pressures, Bitcoin's future direction depends on whether it can break out above the 100-day Moving Average (MA) or hold the 200-day MA as structural support. Currently, Bitcoin oscillates between the 100-day MA, which is at approximately $114K, and the 200-day MA at an estimated $109K.

A confirmed daily close above the 100-day MA could trigger a breakout toward $120K–$122K, while a drop below $108K might expose the $102K–$104K institutional demand zone. Factors such as the Federal Open Market Committee’s dovish policy shift and the U.S.–China cooperation framework could support a bullish continuation if on-chain and volume metrics confirm accumulation.