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The clock is ticking for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) as it faces a final decision deadline of November 12, 2025, on Grayscale’s proposed HBAR Spot ETF.
After multiple delays since February, this marks the last extension period, meaning the SEC must now either approve or reject the application — no more postponements.
📅 Timeline at a Glance
Application Filed: February 28, 2025 (under Nasdaq Rule 5711(d))
Review Began: June 12, 2025
Last Delay: September 9, 2025
Final Deadline: November 12, 2025
If approved, this would be the first-ever spot ETF tied to Hedera’s native token, HBAR, offering direct exposure to the asset via traditional financial markets.
💡 What Makes the HBAR Spot ETF Unique
Unlike futures-based ETFs that track derivative contracts, a spot ETF directly holds the underlying token — in this case, HBAR, the utility token powering the Hedera Hashgraph network.
An approval would allow investors to gain regulated access to HBAR without using crypto exchanges or self-custody wallets, marking another step in the mainstream adoption of digital assets.
This ETF could potentially:
Increase HBAR’s institutional visibility
Improve market liquidity and price stability
Strengthen trust in Hedera’s enterprise-grade ecosystem
⚖️ Why the SEC’s Decision Matters
The SEC’s handling of spot crypto ETFs has been under intense scrutiny, especially following the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs earlier this year.
If Grayscale’s HBAR ETF is approved, it could open the door for other altcoin ETFs — including those tied to Solana (SOL), Avalanche (AVAX), and Chainlink (LINK).
On the other hand, a rejection may signal that the SEC remains cautious toward non-Bitcoin digital assets, potentially slowing broader ETF adoption across the crypto sector.
🔍 Market Reaction & Sentiment
Market watchers are closely monitoring both HBAR price action and Grayscale’s ETF filing patterns.
Historically, ETF approval rumors tend to trigger short-term rallies, while delays or rejections can lead to brief corrections before stabilization.
As of today, HBAR trades near $0.10, maintaining a neutral-to-bullish sentiment amid the broader altcoin consolidation phase.
📊 If approved, analysts estimate a potential 15–25% upside for HBAR due to increased institutional demand.
🧠 Expert Take
“An HBAR spot ETF would validate Hedera’s underlying tech narrative — energy efficiency, enterprise partnerships, and strong governance. This is not just about price; it’s about recognition,” said @ChainThinker, a Web3 analyst on X.
Grayscale’s persistence in pursuing ETF approvals also signals confidence in long-term regulatory clarity, aligning with its broader strategy to bring institutional-grade crypto exposure to U.S. investors.
🪙 Quick Overview: Hedera (HBAR)
Metric Detail
Network Hedera Hashgraph
Token Symbol HBAR
Use Case Network fees, staking, and governance
Total Supply 50 billion HBAR
Market Cap (as of Nov 3, 2025) ~$3.3 billion
Core Features High throughput, low fees, energy-efficient DLT
