$BTC PLAYING AT THE 50 AVERAGE#NewsAboutCrypto 
📌 Key points:
BTC is currently at 99,472.07 USD, with a prolonged decline linked to selling pressure from long-term holders and net outflows from spot ETFs in the US.
Market sentiment is in extreme fear zone (Index: 23), reflecting investor caution after high-value liquidations.
The accumulation by entities like Tether provides some support, but is still insufficient to reverse the trend in the short term.
🎯 Opportunities
Message (📉 mixed):
Institutional pressure vs. support: The net outflow of ETFs and the sale of ~400,000 BTC by long-term holders create negative pressure, while recent purchases from Tether sustain recovery expectations.
Macro and monetary policy: FED rate cut prospects in December may support valuations, benefiting not only BTC but also ETH, SOL, and XRP.
Sector dynamics: Capital rotation to sectors like privacy and storage (impacting SOL, ADA, DOGE, PEPE, SUI) may support a positive correlation if BTC stabilizes.
Technique (📉 short term):
Key support and resistance: Supports at 98,000-100,000 USD; resistances at 103,500-105,000 USD.
Indicators: RSI in the short term near the oversold zone, suggesting a possible technical rebound; negative MACD maintains a downward trend.
Flows and positions: High Long/Short ratio (>3), but with slightly higher active selling volume in several intraday windows, indicating uncertainty for new aggressive entries.
🚨 Risks (🔴 High):
Risk of breaking the psychological support of 100,000 USD, which would open the way for a drop to 94,000-92,500 USD.
Continuation of institutional outflows and absence of immediate catalysts for reversal.
Macro volatility and possible negative surprises in FED policies, affecting all correlated assets.
⚡ Action (📉 caution for short term / 📈 potential medium term):
Pair and current price
BTCUSDT — 99,472.07 USD
Short term strategy (📉 sell on strength, cover on support)
Direction: Tactical sale above 103,000 USD or on failure to recover, with repurchase at supports 98,000-99,000 USD.
Stop-loss: 105,000 USD (short protection with 30% of the position).
Take-profit: 97,500 USD (50% of the position) and 94,500 USD (remaining).
Medium-long term strategy (📈 gradual accumulation)
Direction: Gradual purchase in the 98,000-94,000 USD zone, including partial allocation in ETH, SOL, and ADA for diversification.
Stop-loss: 92,000 USD (full protection).
Take-profit: 110,000 USD (40% of the position) and 112,500 USD (60% of the position).
Integrated strategy
Maintain core BTC for macro cycle beneficiary, complementing with positions in ETH for technological value, SOL for ecosystem growth, XRP for payment exposure, ADA for the future of smart contracts, and selective entries in DOGE, PEPE, and SUI to capitalize on speculative movements.
