Regarding #比特币走势分析 , I have some new thoughts recently that I would like to discuss with everyone.

I don't know if you've noticed, but the halving cycle of Bitcoin over the past four years seems to align inexplicably with the rhythm of U.S. debt issuance. From 2008 until now, it has gone through four complete cycles of rises and falls, and we are currently at the beginning of the fifth cycle. This pattern has been in effect for sixteen years and continues to hold true.

Bitcoin is increasingly resembling "digital gold," and in fact, it is more akin to following the old path of U.S. stocks. As long as U.S. dollar liquidity does not dry up, it is difficult to say that its rise will hit a ceiling. Each significant drop, even in a bear market that occurs once every four years, ultimately boils down to a technical adjustment—though as a high-risk asset, its volatility is indeed more stimulating.

Even if a dollar crisis really does occur in the future, the Federal Reserve will certainly print money recklessly to save the market. At that time, Bitcoin may experience a flash crash, but it will soon be pushed higher by the newly released liquidity, setting a new historical high.

This cycle is likely to become the norm for many years to come.

On the other hand, gold is being revalued by BRICS countries, especially under the push of major Eastern nations, as its monetary properties are returning.

As for the entire crypto market, I believe that breaking through the one trillion dollar mark is just a matter of time. At that point, it will stand on equal footing with traditional financial markets—stocks, futures, bonds, and foreign exchange—these older brothers.

In the next ten years, it is worth our patience to witness this financial transformation together.