# Bitcoin Mid-term Technical Analysis: Bearish Dominance, Where Do We Go From Here?
**Publication Date: November 12, 2025**
Welcome to my blog. Today, we briefly analyze the mid-term (1-3 months) trends of Bitcoin (BTC). The current price is approximately $101,860, and the market is tense. Based on technical analysis, the signals are bearish.
### Current Signal: Bearish Dominance
On the weekly/daily chart, BTC is below MA50 ($111,474) and MA200 ($110,446), indicating weakness among bulls. This week it dropped 8%, with an RSI (14-day) of only 35.7, nearing oversold; the MACD line -2,524 is below the signal line, confirming downward momentum. The total market capitalization has decreased by 20% from its peak.
### Why Bearish?
- Failed to break the $110,000 resistance, with $100,000 support under pressure.
- US Treasury yields are rising (or reaching 6%), directing funds towards traditional assets.
- Altcoins are weak, reducing BTC inflows.
### Most Likely Direction
In the mid-term, it may drop to $90,000-$95,000 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level). If RSI continues to decline, a test within 4-6 weeks is expected. If there are positive developments regarding ETFs or regulations, it could rebound to $105,000, but overall remains bearish until it breaks MA50.
### Conclusion
The fundamentals of BTC are strong, but positive signals are needed. Investors should be aware of the risks and wait for a rebound. Feel free to comment with your views!
*Note: This is not investment advice, please consult a professional.*
