Global liquidity is the blood of the financial system. When it flows, assets rise. When it dries up, everything cools down... and crypto is always the most sensitive 💧➡️🩸➡️💰
Now we live in a liquidity drought:
The Fed drains dollars (QT).
The Treasury absorbs capital with debt.
Japan no longer injects yen.
China keeps liquidity for its internal crisis.
Europe cannot print without triggering energy prices.
Liquidity, friend of cryptos, enemy of inflation...
Result: less marginal money → more pressure on risk assets.
$BTC suffers more than stocks because it is the thermometer of liquidity.
🔍 What does it mean for Bitcoin?
Short term (0–3M)
Volatility, “flushes”, liquidations. Range 85k–104k.
Tactical opportunity, not macro ceiling.
Accumulate on dips.
Sideways months. Micro shorts - micro longs.
Medium term (3–12M)
Living cycle but compressed. Improvements if DXY drops.
Holding + partial sales (10%, 20%, on bounces) + partial re-buys on corrections.
Reasonable target: 105k–130k.
Long term (2026–2027)
When liquidity returns (est. 2H 2026):
$BTC it will be the first asset to take off.
Potential of +150% to +300%.
Key message:
Liquidity rules.
Price follows flow.
And when the heart starts pumping money back into the system, Bitcoin will be the first to feel it and the one that benefits the most. 🚀
AltSeason? Alts are the other organs of the body. If BTC, the heart, doesn't pump blood, Alts can't take off.
I still have hope for a macro event that fills the world with juicy fiat...
