【Important Signal】Federal Reserve Vice Chairman's Latest Speech Releases Key Turning Point Signal! Is a Rate Cut Really Coming in December?
🔥 Just released: a comprehensive interpretation of the Federal Reserve Vice Chairman's speech, with significant information:
📉 The opening sets the tone: The supply and demand in the labor market are gradually cooling, and the policy interest rate is close to neutral levels, requiring a shift to a 'cautious' mode.
🎯 Key Points Overview:
✅ Clearly stated that the risk of rising inflation has decreased
✅ The inflation impact from tariffs is likely to be temporary
✅ The balance of economic risks has changed, and employment risks are rising
✅ The most crucial statement: The current policy interest rate still carries a restrictive nature (implying the rate is relatively high)
💡 Implicit Message Interpretation: An open attitude towards a rate cut in December! The Vice Chairman specifically mentioned that it is uncertain how much data can be obtained before the December meeting—this means that as long as subsequent economic data supports it, the door to rate cuts is already open.
📊 Summary Points:
1️⃣ Stance leans dovish, attitude cautious
2️⃣ Inflation is indeed cooling down, with employment risks becoming a new focus
3️⃣ Whether to cut rates in December depends entirely on the data
🚨 What is most important now? It's not the officials' statements, but the upcoming release of the 'Non-Farm Payroll' employment data! If the data shows weakness and meets the conditions for a rate cut, then:
📈 The probability of a rate cut in December will soar dramatically
📈 Bitcoin $BTC is expected to usher in a new round of rebound
💥 Pay attention to Thursday evening's non-farm data, as this could be a key moment in determining market direction!
#美联储政策转向 #降息预期升温 #非农数据前瞻 #比特币走势分析
