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Markets Quiet⌠But Everyoneâs Still Nervous 𤍠Crypto markets feel calmer today â Bitcoin is chilling around $92K, and the crazy selling seems to have slowed down. ETFs finally saw some small inflows again ($56.5M), but after billions leaving in November, nobodyâs suddenly turning bullish. Basically, the market isnât crashing, but itâs not excited either â just waiting. The big event tonight is the #FOMC . Rates are probably staying the same, so the real game is Powellâs tone. With almost no fresh data since the last meeting, the Fed wonât give any hints about a January move. Traders will be overanalyzing every word he says. Most people still expect things to turn more âdovishâ in 2026, but itâs not happening right now. Then comes the BOJ on 19 December. Japanâs bond yields are at levels not seen since the mid-2000s, and BOJ officials are starting to look uncomfortable. That means USDJPY carry trade traders need to be careful â any BOJ surprise could shake the markets fast. For crypto specifically, $BTC is in that weird âstable but not reallyâ zone. It swung like crazy this year but somehow ended up almost flat (down about 3â7% YTD). Itâs holding between $90Kâ$93K, supported mostly by corporate buying, but thereâs no strong direction. This feels like one of those weeks where markets are pretending to be calm but are actually super tense under the surface. One comment from Powell or one surprise from the BOJ could flip everything. So for now, itâs more about waiting than trading. Buckle up â December still has a few plot twists left. If you enjoy my content, feel free to follow me â¤ď¸ #Binance #crypto2025
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Weekend Crypto Rollercoaster: The Calm Before the Big Storm? đ Last Sunday the market went totally nuts in super thin trading: Bitcoin bounced between $88k-$92k and Ethereum flew from $2,910 to $3,150 in just a few hours, wiping out both longs and shorts. But hereâs the crazy part: only $440M got liquidated, which is tiny these days. That tells you almost nobody is actually trading anymore; retail is bored/tired/scared and has checked out (Google searches for âBitcoinâ are back to 2022 bear-market levels), and even the perpetual futures crowd has cut their leverage by 44-50% since October. So the market is empty â tiny buying or selling now creates huge swings. Perfect setup for violent moves. At the same time, someone big is quietly hoovering up coins: 25,000 $BTC left exchanges in the last two weeks, ETFs + companies now hold more Bitcoin than all exchanges combined, and Ethereum exchange balances are at 10-year lows. Classic supply squeeze happening under the radar while everyone else is on holiday mode. This week the Fed meets on Wednesday. A rate cut is basically guaranteed, but if they even hint at restarting QE or slowing the balance-sheet runoff, risk assets (stocks + crypto) could rip higher. Weâre in that weird âghost townâ phase of the market: almost no retail, low leverage, crap liquidity, but whales and institutions are steadily buying every dip and locking coins away forever. These weekend Âą5% moves in minutes are just a preview; when we finally break either below $84k or above $100k itâs going to be explosive in one direction. Iâm personally leaning bullish because the supply shock is real and the Fed is still dovish, but man, the ride is going to be brutal until we get that clean breakout. Buckle up, December could get very spicy. If you enjoy my content, feel free to follow me â¤ď¸ #Binance #crypto2025
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BTC Gets Knocked Back as Asia Spooks the Market đ Bitcoin had a rough start to December, dropping from 91k to 86k in just a few hours. The main reason wasnât the US â it was Asia. Japan hinted at a possible rate hike, and Chinaâs latest PMI showed their services sector shrinking for the first time in almost three years. Both signals freaked out investors and made people question whether global liquidity is actually improving. Then things got worse when Strategyâs CEO made comments implying they might sell BTC if their stock falls too much or funding dries up. That triggered panic, especially among highly leveraged traders, causing more forced selling. Whatâs funny is that the macro backdrop should be good for crypto: QT is ending, rate cut odds are high, a pro-crypto candidate might become the next Fed Chair, and spot ETF flows are positive again. But BTC isnât listening â sentiment is weak, and the Strategy headlines made it worse. Right now, the market is basically asking: âCan Bitcoin hold the previous lows or not?â Liquidity and Strategy-related flows will decide. The next few days could determine whether BTC ends 2025 positive. BTCâs reaction feels more like a sentiment tantrum than a real macro shift. Asia threw a curveball, traders panicked, and leverage got wiped â classic crypto. But the bigger picture (US liquidity improving, ETF inflows, rate cuts in sight) still leans bullish. As long as BTC doesnât break below its recent lows, this looks more like a shakeout than a full trend reversal. If you enjoy my content, feel free to follow me â¤ď¸ #Binance #crypto2025
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Bitcoin Chilling in the $80ks â Everyoneâs Waiting for the Fed & Wondering If the AI Party Is Over đ â¨BTC bounced a bit and is hanging out around $88â89k, but itâs not because of some big crypto news. Itâs just riding the wave of stocks feeling a little better and markets betting hard (85%) on a Fed rate cut in December. Inflationâs still annoying, jobs are getting softer, and Fed members are split, but the âletâs cut ratesâ camp is getting louder. Meanwhile, the crazy AI hype is cooling off â credit spreads on tech/AI names are widening, and people are side-eyeing Nvidiaâs exploding inventory and slow collections⌠basically asking âare companies actually using all this AI stuff or did they just front-load orders?â Crypto ETFs are bleeding money again, a bunch of tokens got liquidated, and MicroStrategy (the bitcoin hoarder) is flirting with break-even on its stash while its stock might get kicked out of an index â that could force selling and hurt BTC price. Options traders are quietly buying a ton of downside protection, everyoneâs a bit scared, and the vibe is cautious even if the price looks stable. Bottom line: BTC is stuck in no-manâs-land for now. Upside capped near $95k because of ETF sellers will show up, downside support around $80â82k. Right now crypto is just a leveraged bet on whether stocks stay happy and the Fed actually cuts. No strong crypto-only story driving it. â¨Honestly feels like the calm before the storm. Either we get a proper ârisk-onâ Santa rally into year-end if the Fed delivers and jobs data isnât horrific, or this whole $80â95k range collapses if AI credit keeps blowing out or the labour market cracks harder. Iâm leaning toward rangebound grinding until the December FOMC â too many crosscurrents and not enough real new money coming into crypto right now. Feels exhausted more than bearish or bullish. If you enjoy my content, feel free to follow me â¤ď¸ #Binance #crypto2025
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BTC Gets Some Oxygen â Rate Cut Hopes + Flushed Leverage = Room for a Bounce 𤣠â¨Bitcoin got smoked (down over 30% recently) and looked technically broken, but Fridayâs super-dovish Fed comments flipped the mood. Markets now think thereâs a 75% chance of a December rate cut (it was only 30-40% a few days ago). Cheaper money coming = good for risky stuff like BTC. Even though the chart still looks ugly, the options market is telling a different story: traders have over $4.5 billion sitting in December calls at 85k, 120k, 130k, 140k, and even 200k. Thatâs a lot of people betting on (or at least protecting for) a big year-end rally. Max pain is around 104k, so the market kinda âwantsâ to gravitate there by Christmas. On top of that, the perps market just had its long leverage flushed out hard â funding rates are negative and a ton of weak hands got wrecked. That usually means the worst of the selling is done for now. This week is quiet (Thanksgiving), so if $BTC can hold Fridayâs gains and we donât get the usual weekend fake-out + Monday US open dump, it could actually start crawling higher. â¨Iâm cautiously optimistic for the first time in weeks. The macro tailwind is real, the leverage flush feels complete, and the options crowd is still loaded with upside bets despite the bloodbath. Weâre probably not out of the woods yet (one more convincing leg down to shake out the rest of the tourists is still possible, but the risk/reward for a bounce into year-end looks pretty juicy from here. Iâd rather be long (or at least not short) heading into December than the other way around. If you enjoy my content, feel free to follow me â¤ď¸ #Binance #crypto2025
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