Bearish Scenario (Probable, 70% chance): Breaks $0.125 → target $0.11 (ATL), then $0.07. Stop-loss above $0.13.

Bullish Scenario (Short Bounce, 30% chance): Breakout > $0.149 → target $0.18-$0.21 (October resistance). Catalyst: Hype post-elections or Trump news.