$ETH Trading Core Summary (High Win Rate 70%-75%)

Core Judgment: 4-hour absolute bearish + Retail Investors 72.26% heavily long (L.S Ratio 2.60), typical "Retail Investors holding on, Institutions inducing short" market, strictly prohibited to go long, rebound resistance level ambushing short positions as the only strategy.

Key Market Logic

1. Strategy (4H): Price 2742 below EMA200/120/10, bearish arrangement, RSI not oversold still has room to decline, institutions must wash out longs and crush long positions.

2. Tactics (15m): Weak range-bound fluctuations, 2783 (EMA200) as strong resistance, 2702 support is precarious, short-term may have weak rebound to induce longs before further decline.

Precise Operation Plan

- Order Type: Short Limit (high position ambushing short positions)

- Entry: 2760 (light position), 2780 (adding position), average price 2770

- Stop Loss: 2815 (breakout invalidates bearish, exit immediately)

- Take Profit: TP1=2705 (reduce position by 50%), TP2=2650 (liquidate)

- Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.7, extremely high cost-performance ratio

Execution Taboo

1. Firmly abandon any thoughts of going long, do not chase shorts at current price 2742;

2. Only wait for rebound to 2760/2780 transactions, directly breaking below 2700 means giving up trading, do not chase highs or lows. #ETH走势分析