đ Key points
Bitcoin (BTC, 85âŻ122.93âŻ$) is facing a phase of increased volatility, but the probability of a rate cut by the Fed (â„70âŻ%) could rekindle institutional demand and strengthen its role as a digital safe haven.
Easing macroeconomic conditions are increasing overall liquidity, which historically tends to support BTC and risk assets like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL).
Market sentiment remains in extreme fear (index: 10), suggesting a possible technical reversal after the capitulation of short-term holders.
đŻ Opportunities
Fundamentals and news (đ Favorable potentials)
Macro signal: The Fed is considering a 25 bps rate cut, boosting alternative yield assets and the flow towards Bitcoin ETFs, which have recently become profitable (+ $2.38 billion).
Active institutions: Players like ARK and Fidelity have resumed their massive purchases of BTC, confirming a renewed institutional confidence.
Convergence with gold: More accommodative monetary policy creates a favorable environment for decentralized reserves like BTC and ETH, often correlated with phases of monetary expansion.
Technique and market (đ Recovery signal)
Technically, BTC's daily RSI is in the oversold zone (< 30) and the MACD is stabilizing, indicating a return to the $86,500â$90,000 zone.
The position reports from elite accounts indicate a long/short ratio above 2, confirming bullish preparation.
Liquidity-related altcoins (SOL, PEPE, SUI) could follow BTC in a catch-up move, with typical rebound signals after extreme market stress.
DOGE and ADA, with their pronounced dip technical structures, offer interesting speculative potential if liquidity expands post-Fed decision.
đš Risks (đ€ Medium level)
If the Fed delays or softens the rate cut, market panic could intensify and push BTC back under the $82,000 zone, with prolonged liquidations in altcoins.
The volatility of US ETFs remains high; a reversal of flows could neutralize short-term advantages.
The level of extreme fear (index 10) remains a double-edged sword: conducive to recoveries but also to violent jerks.
⥠Recommended actions (Outlook: Bullish đ)
Short term (swing / 2â7 days)
Entry: between $82,000 and $85,500 (BTC)
Stop-loss: under $80,000 (â 10%)
Take-profit:
1ïžâŁ $86,500 (50% of the position)
2ïžâŁ $90,000 (30%)
3ïžâŁ $93,800 (20%)
Medium / long term (4â12 weeks)
Progressive entry (DCA): zone $83,000â$86,000
Dynamic stop-loss: under $78,500
Exit targets:
$95,000 (confirmed technical rebound)
$105,000 (if the Fed starts a sustainable rate cut cycle)
Altcoin supplements: accumulate ETH and SOL with low exposure; adopt an exploratory approach on DOGE, ADA, PEPE, and SUI, correlated to the recovery of crypto liquidity.
đ In conclusion, the likely Fed rate cut acts as a monetary expansion catalyst: Bitcoin at $85,122.93 could become the center of the bullish cycle again. With liquidity values like ETH and SOL in support, the market still cries under fear, but often thatâs where the most beautiful rebounds are born. Courage: when the Fed opens the tap, BTC wakes up in full bytes!
#BTCVolatility #PEPEâ #BTCè”°ćżćæ #CryptoEarnings #cryptoinfo $BTC
