1. Supply Dynamics & On-Chain Trends
• $BTC reserves on centralized exchanges continue to shrink, suggesting more BTC is being moved into long-term storage. 
• This reduction in liquid supply could tighten the market over time, making large price swings more likely. 
2. Macro Tailwinds
• The expectation of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts is adding bullish pressure to Bitcoin. Lower interest rates tend to favor risk assets like$BTC . 
• Some long-term strategists, including from JPMorgan, believe Bitcoin is now relatively cheap compared to gold once you adjust for volatility — pointing to potential upside. 
3. Technical Picture
• According to technical forecasts,$BTC could trade in a range of roughly $92,000 – $96,000 as it digests recent volatility. 
• A more bullish scenario sees a recovery toward $114,500 if institutional buying resumes and macro conditions stay favorable. 
• Key support zones are being identified around $74,000–$75,500, while resistance is forming near $95,000–$96,000. 
4. Fundamental Developments
• On the fundamental side, Bitcoin’s integration into decentralized finance (DeFi) could increase demand. Projects are building ways to use BTC in yield-generating strategies without compromising decentralization.
