Opportunity (📈 Bullish)
BTC surpasses 90k driven by expectations of rate cuts and institutional flow: The price of BTC (91,588.25 USDT) broke the threshold of 90,000, driven by a strong improvement in sentiment and positive flows into spot ETFs. Large whales have shifted from short to long positions, reinforcing the bullish momentum as fundamental and technical data confirm accumulation.
Fundamental Message (📈 Bullish)
Institutional flow: Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows again after weeks of outflows, signaling a reactivation of institutional interest.
Favorable macro environment: The 85% increase in the probability of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve enhances the appetite for risk assets like BTC and ETH.
Social and whale support: KOL postings and massive purchases by large holders reinforce confidence in a sustained move.
Technical (📈 Bullish)
Positive indicators: Hourly RSI at 60 and bullish EMA(7/25) crossover. MACD close to neutral but with an upward bias; key levels are support at 88,000 and resistance at 93,000.
Flows and positions: The slightly positive funding rate (0.0059%) and the long/short ratio above 1.5 suggest dominance of sustained bullish positions.
Support from altcoins: ETH shows institutional accumulation following the VanEck move; SOL and ADA are also regaining technical traction, indicating healthy rotation within the market.
🚨 Risk (🤔 Medium)
Technical correction due to excessive optimism: Although the rise above 90k marks strength, fear/greed at 24 (fear zone) suggests opportunity in a controlled correction. Pressure from the expiration of 13 billion USD in options may elevate volatility.
