The latest data from the CME FedWatch Tool is sending waves through global markets โ€” and yes, the crypto community is watching closely.

According to the report, there is now a massive 86.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will deliver a 25 bps rate cut this December. Meanwhile, the odds of keeping rates unchanged have dropped to just 13.6%.

This shift in sentiment has been building ever since U.S. jobless claims unexpectedly declined on November 26, hinting that economic pressure may be easing. ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ


๐Ÿ”ฎ Looking Toward January 2026: Market Expectations Intensify


Traders are already positioning for what could be the beginning of a broader easing cycle:




  • ๐Ÿ”ธ 10% chance the Fed holds current rates



  • ๐Ÿ”ธ 67% probability of a 25 bps cut



  • ๐Ÿ”ธ 23% probability of a deeper 50 bps cut


These numbers reveal growing confidence โ€” and growing emotion โ€” across financial markets. Risk assets tend to thrive during easing cycles, and many investors are quietly preparing for what could be a bullish setup. ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ’น


๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Key Dates to Watch




  • December 10, 2025 โ€” FOMC Meeting



  • January 28, 2026 โ€” FOMC Meeting


As these crucial meetings approach, uncertainty mixes with optimism. The possibility of a long-awaited pivot is no longer just speculation โ€” itโ€™s becoming the dominant market narrative. And for the crypto space, moments like this can reshape momentum in powerful ways. ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ”ฅ


#DecemberRateCuts #2026Trends #FOMCForecast #Follow_Like_Comment #folllowformore

$BTC


BTC
BTC
90,145.97
-1.75%