Based on the current information you provided (November 30, 2025, with a coin price of $11), I have summarized the specifics of Alchemix (ALCX) for you. It occupies a position in the DeFi space due to its unique 'self-repaying loan' model, but it is important to note that there are significant contradictions in the current predictions regarding its end-of-year price.
🔮 What is ALCX?
ALCX is the governance token of the DeFi protocol Alchemix. The core innovation of this protocol is the self-repaying loan.
· Operational mechanism: After users deposit collateral (such as stablecoins DAI or ETH), they can borrow a loan of up to 50% of the collateral's value. The protocol will invest the collateral into yield platforms like Yearn Finance to generate returns, which will automatically be used to repay your loan, ultimately allowing you to pay it off without manual operation.
· Token use: ALCX is primarily used for protocol governance (voting on proposals) and incentivizing the ecosystem (rewards for staking and providing liquidity).
· Tokenomics: ALCX has no supply cap. Its issuance follows a gradually decreasing model, with a higher rate in the first three years, then entering a 'long tail phase', where 2,200 ALCX are minted weekly, with an annual inflation rate of about 4.5% that continues to decline. 80% of the tokens are allocated to liquidity providers and stakers, aimed at achieving fairness and decentralization.
📈 Year-end price forecast and analysis of reasons
There is currently no consensus in the market regarding ALCX's price at the end of 2025, with two distinctly different viewpoints.
The table below compares these two predictive scenarios and their core bases:
Prediction viewpoint Price prediction range Main basis
Optimistic prediction $34.33 - $87.94 (Gate.io Data) based on analysis models from historical data and market patterns.
Cautious prediction about $9.81 - $9.85 (LBank Data) based on technical indicators showing recent price corrections from highs, suggesting that the current trend may continue.
To provide you with a more comprehensive assessment, here are specific arguments supporting different viewpoints:
· Potential factors supporting optimistic predictions:
1. Technical breakout: At the beginning of November, ALCX showed a strong performance with a price increase of over 120% within 24 hours, accompanied by a sharp increase in trading volume, which is typically interpreted as a signal of market interest and capital influx.
2. Fundamental valuation: Some analysts believe that even after the rise, the ratio of ALCX's market capitalization to its total value locked (TVL) is still below 1, which may indicate that the token is undervalued relative to the value it creates.
3. Market sentiment warming: If the entire DeFi market and cryptocurrency sector continue to recover towards the end of the year, mature projects like ALCX with actual products and user bases are more likely to attract capital.
· Potential factors supporting cautious predictions:
1. Short-term overbought risk: After the surge in early November, ALCX's relative strength index (RSI) exceeded 80, entering a seriously overbought zone. Historical experience suggests that this is often accompanied by technical corrections, with prices potentially falling to $12-$13 or even $8-$10 to seek support. The current price you observe at $11 may reflect this correction process.
2. Dependence on market conditions: The price of ALCX is highly correlated with the performance of Ethereum (ETH) and the overall sentiment in the DeFi market. If the macro market deteriorates, it is difficult for ALCX to stand out on its own.
3. Liquidity risk: ALCX's market capitalization is relatively small (around tens of millions of dollars), which means it can be more susceptible to significant price fluctuations due to large buy and sell orders.
💎 Summary and Reminder
Overall, ALCX is backed by an innovative DeFi protocol. There is a divergence in the market regarding its year-end price: one side is optimistic about a breakout based on historical patterns and fundamentals; the other side believes the price will remain at the current low levels due to recent technical corrections.
Therefore, please be aware that any short-term price prediction comes with a high degree of uncertainty, especially for highly volatile assets like cryptocurrencies.
If you are interested in specific use cases of the Alchemix protocol (such as how to use its self-repaying loan feature), I would be happy to provide a more detailed introduction.
