If I have to make a comparison similar to carving a boat to seek a sword, I would rather compare 2025 to 2019, rather than 2021.

1️⃣ Similar macro environment, on the eve of loosening, with only expectations and no influx of money;

2️⃣ Similar token performance, BTC slightly up (thanks to ETF, this time it reached a new high), altcoins are lying still on the ground;

3️⃣ Relying on BN to bring a small wealth effect, the IEO of 2019, the BSC meme of 2026.

$BTC Will the next be a drop of 70%+?

This is the assumption of many market participants, carving the candlestick of 2022.

It really doesn't have to be that way.

Instead of constantly guessing/predicting/fantasizing about bull and bear markets, it is better to arrange your positions and plans based on several possibilities (wide fluctuations/bottoming out and bull run/deep bear market starting).

From another perspective, looking at BTC/NDX, the weekly chart is already in an extremely oversold range, and this chart, in my opinion, is a struggle between fundamentals and liquidity, possibly the darkness before dawn.