🛑 NEWS — Arthur Hayes reaffirms his vision for BTC
Arthur Hayes maintains his prediction that Bitcoin could reach between $200,000 and $250,000 by the end of 2025, even after the October–November correction and the residual fear that persists in the market.
🧠 What is his conviction based on?
1. Expansive monetary policy
Hayes argues that central banks — especially the Fed — will end up resorting to liquidity again to sustain the economy, which historically drives BTC.
2. Post-halving cycle
Bitcoin is in the phase where the supply shock begins to reflect in the price, typically 6–18 months after the halving.
3. Silent institutional accumulation
While many retail investors are selling out of fear, institutions and corporate treasuries are accumulating BTC during correction ranges.
4. Macro safe-haven narrative
With geopolitical tensions, debt, and a degradation of trust in fiat currencies, BTC strengthens as an alternative asset.
⸻
📉 Drop ≠ end of the cycle
Hayes argues that these downturns are necessary to clear leverage, redistribute supply, and prepare for the next phase of macro upward movement.
⸻
📌 Conclusion:
His stance is not emotional; it is structural:
• He believes we are in the middle of a bullish cycle, not at the end.
• And what we are seeing now is consolidation, not capitulation.
Arthur Hayes maintains his prediction that Bitcoin could reach between $200,000 and $250,000 by the end of 2025, even after the October–November correction and the residual fear that persists in the market.
🧠 What is his conviction based on?
1. Expansive monetary policy
Hayes argues that central banks — especially the Fed — will end up resorting to liquidity again to sustain the economy, which historically drives BTC.
2. Post-halving cycle
Bitcoin is in the phase where the supply shock begins to reflect in the price, typically 6–18 months after the halving.
3. Silent institutional accumulation
While many retail investors are selling out of fear, institutions and corporate treasuries are accumulating BTC during correction ranges.
4. Macro safe-haven narrative
With geopolitical tensions, debt, and a degradation of trust in fiat currencies, BTC strengthens as an alternative asset.
⸻
📉 Drop ≠ end of the cycle
Hayes argues that these downturns are necessary to clear leverage, redistribute supply, and prepare for the next phase of macro upward movement.
⸻
📌 Conclusion:
His stance is not emotional; it is structural:
• He believes we are in the middle of a bullish cycle, not at the end.
• And what we are seeing now is consolidation, not capitulation.
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