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Bitcoin's performance in 2025 is highly similar to that of 2022, with a correlation of 98%
According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin (BTC) in 2025 shows a high similarity to the bear market bottom trends of 2022, with a correlation close to 100%. Network economist Timothy Peterson notes that BTC's performance this year is remarkably similar to that of 2022, with a daily correlation of 80% and a monthly correlation reaching 98%.
November is one of the worst months for BTC price performance, Peterson states, with this month’s performance being in the bottom 10% since 2015. Historical data shows that 'red' performance in November typically leads to similar declines in December.
Nevertheless, macro sentiment changes may bring about the classic 'Christmas rally' before the end of the year. Data shows that since November 2024, equity funds have attracted $900 billion in new capital, while other asset classes have only attracted $100 billion. Bitcoin ETFs saw inflows of $220 billion by the end of Thanksgiving week, and Ether ETFs saw inflows of $31.2 billion, indicating that institutional sell-offs may have ended.
November is one of the worst months for BTC price performance, Peterson states, with this month’s performance being in the bottom 10% since 2015. Historical data shows that 'red' performance in November typically leads to similar declines in December.
Nevertheless, macro sentiment changes may bring about the classic 'Christmas rally' before the end of the year. Data shows that since November 2024, equity funds have attracted $900 billion in new capital, while other asset classes have only attracted $100 billion. Bitcoin ETFs saw inflows of $220 billion by the end of Thanksgiving week, and Ether ETFs saw inflows of $31.2 billion, indicating that institutional sell-offs may have ended.
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