Emergency Warning: 76% Probability of Rate Hike by Bank of Japan, $BTC Faces 14 Trillion 'Bomb' Impact!
The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates in December has surged to 76%, and global markets are facing a potential crisis: approximately $14 trillion worth of yen carry trade funds may be forced to return, putting the cryptocurrency market at the forefront.
📉 Current Market Conditions
· BTC Down: Price Drops Below $86,000.
· Capital Outflow: Spot ETF has seen a net outflow of approximately $2.8 billion over the past month.
· Panic Sentiment: Market sentiment index shows extreme panic, and negative funding rates indicate an overheated market correction.
💥 Trigger Point: Yen Carry Trade Reversal
If the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, global investors may sell dollar assets to concentrate on repaying yen, which could lead to severe volatility in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
🔍 Key Observations
1. Bank of Japan's December Meeting: Whether to raise rates will determine short-term market trends.
2. Federal Reserve Policy Meeting: The key issue is whether the interest rate cuts shown in the dot plot will be delayed.
📌 Investor Strategies
· Strictly control positions to avoid leverage.
· Monitor market capital flows and sentiment indicators.
· Remain cautious before important policy decisions are announced.
The current market environment is complex; what is your position status?
