$MBL $BABY

**Last night, no one in the financial circle dared to sleep: Japan's 76% interest rate hike probability is detonating a "bomb" worth 14 trillion, can your position withstand it?**

This morning, BTC fell below 86000, which is not a normal market crash — I stared at the screen, sweating over that number: the market bets that the probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates in December has skyrocketed to 76%! If this comes true, the global 14 trillion yen carry trade will madly flow back to close positions, with BTC being the first to suffer. The data has already sounded the alarm: a single monthly drop of over 20%, ETF funds flowing out 3.5 billion, and 400 million in long positions evaporated overnight.

**Even scarier is the "double kill situation"**: The Federal Reserve has entered a silent period, and Powell is tight-lipped about policy. If Japan tightens and the U.S. does not provide liquidity, the liquidity will instantly dry up. But remember, this is definitely not the end of the world! Looking back at 2024, after Japan's rate hike, BTC hit a new high three months later — the big whales have always bottomed out in bloodshed.

**The case before us is shocking**: Brother Majic has once again become an "on-chain ATM" this morning, with ETH positions of 25 times long liquidating 17.3 million dollars in 15 minutes, with a total of 112 liquidations in November... and this is just a glimpse of the market's fragility. Exchanges have secretly taken action: Bybit urgently raised margins, and Binance unlocked liquidation protection.

**Signals for a counterattack have emerged**: BlackRock has quietly endorsed DOGE, GUCCI and the Trump family have entered, and MEME coins are being lifted into the financial temple. The $1 target for Dogecoin is no longer a joke, but a path laid with real money by Wall Street.

**What should we do now?**

1️⃣ Control positions, survive the short-term liquidity shock

2️⃣ Keep a close eye on the December meetings of the Japanese and U.S. central banks, as the eye of the storm often hides turning points

3️⃣ Don't panic in a downturn — closing carry trades is not the end of the trend, but the starting point for the next rebound

**Final question**: Are you brave enough to bottom out now, or will you wait for BTC to take another plunge? Share your cost in the comments, and let's bet on the future! #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场回调