My best friend experienced it firsthand, starting with a principal of 100,000 to trade U, and after a full three years, he managed to grow it to 20 million. During this time, he relied on none of the paid indicators and never joined any so-called 'insider groups of big shots,' just using a few of the most straightforward 'simple methods' in the crypto circle — yet these few tricks, while 90% of people claim to understand them, fall apart in practice.
As a full-time market watcher and cryptocurrency analyst for 8 years, I have seen too many surges and crashes, and I have long understood the nature of this market: prices are always in cycles, and the tricks used to manipulate the market change their appearance but not their essence. Those who chase rising and falling prices every day, obsessed with indicators and formulas, are nine out of ten likely to lose; those who can really make money are always the 'minority' who understand the rhythm of the market. Many people stumble not because their skills are lacking, but because they overcomplicate simple matters and get misled by flashy concepts.
Let's talk about the most common trap in market trends, which I estimate many people have fallen into. I myself fell into this trap early on! That kind of altcoin suddenly surges by 20%, and then slowly declines over the next week. The K-line looks weak, and you start to feel like it’s going to crash. Should you quickly cut your losses and run away? I’ll tell you, this is likely the controlling party engaging in 'gentle washing'—deliberately wearing down your patience until you sell at the lowest point, and then they turn around and shoot up.
The real peak is always a violent surge followed by a direct waterfall, leaving no chance for you to hesitate. Last year, that wildly popular animal coin, I watched it shoot up from $0.8 to $1.2, and then in half a day, it crashed down to $0.1. Hundreds of people in the group were crying out, and some leveraged traders went bankrupt. This is a living example!
The reverse trap is even more hidden, and beginners almost always fall into it! After a sharp drop of 30%, the price slowly rebounds, and the K-line looks very stable, with moving averages starting to turn. Many people think, 'The opportunity to buy the dip has come,' and rush in with heavy positions. I advise you not to rush; this is not stabilization at all; it’s the main force using the rebound to 'fish'! As soon as the follow-on buying comes in, they'll immediately dump and leave you trapped halfway up. I see this kind of trick at least a dozen times a year, and every time there are people rushing in, it’s truly heartbreaking and helpless.
Volume is the core signal that cannot be hidden, and this is my 'secret' technique for judging market trends over the past 8 years, which I will explain for free today! Many beginners panic when they see explosive volume at the bottom, thinking that the main force is escaping, and they quickly cut losses—actually, it’s completely unnecessary! In the crypto world, 80% of explosive volume is just 'turnover.' As long as it’s not a massive sell-off (for instance, if the trading volume in a single day is more than five times that of the previous day, and the price crashes), there’s a high chance of a second surge.
What we really need to be cautious about is a sudden decrease in trading volume! It's like driving a car that suddenly runs out of fuel. The day before, the trading volume was 1 billion, and the next day it drops directly to 200 million, leaving the market suddenly quiet. In such times, don't hesitate; quickly reduce your position and retreat, or you'll be waiting to be trapped! I hesitated for a day two years ago, and the altcoin I held went from a profit of 30% to a loss of 20%. I remember that lesson to this day.
Judging the bottom also has its methods; a single giant bullish candle is definitely not the real bottom! That could just be a short-term panic release, like the sharp drop in the overall market in March this year. It looked like trading volume exploded, and many people shouted 'buy the dip,' only to have it drop another 15% two weeks later, trapping all the dip buyers. The real bottom must be a week or more of low volume sideways movement, followed by three consecutive days of gentle increase in volume, with prices slowly rising—this is the signal that smart money is sneaking in. The bottom in November last year followed this pattern, and I made a solid profit by following this signal.
After being in crypto for a long time, you understand that trading is never about how slickly you play the indicators, but rather about controlling emotions. A decrease in volume indicates a quiet market where no one wants to play; don’t panic at this time. An increase in volume signifies that funds are reaching a consensus and are about to move; that’s when you should enter the market. The K-line is just the surface result; the volume is the underlying logic. Don’t be greedy about buying at the lowest or selling at the highest; have the courage to scale in when prices drop, and take profits when they rise. That’s the mature way to play.
Of course, this approach doesn't make quick money; it’s impossible to double your investment in a single day, but achieving over 200% compound growth in a year is completely feasible. For the past 8 years, I've relied on this logic for stable profits and have never relied on luck. No one in the crypto world has ever made long-term profits based on luck; choosing the right track, grasping the rhythm, and following the right circles are key.
Every day, I break down market signals, translating complex K-lines and volume data into plain language to help everyone avoid pitfalls. I won't use jargon to confuse people; it’s all practical experience sharing.
To put it bluntly, in this circle, 90% of the people who mess around end up losing money. The shortcut is to follow the right people and avoid unnecessary detours. Have you also experienced being trapped after chasing highs or buying in at halfway up? Have you also fallen victim to those 'quantitative tools' and 'insider information'?
For friends who don't want to be cut like leeks and don't want to miss out on the next wave of market trends, hitting follow is definitely a good choice! I will slowly share the judgment techniques, pitfall avoidance guides, and daily market breakdowns that I’ve summarized over the past 8 years. Before the next market starts, I’ll highlight key points for you, telling you what to layout and what to avoid!
Follow me, and you won't suffer losses! Let's meet in the comments section and share what pitfalls you've encountered recently?