Last night during the review, I stared blankly at the historical records of an account. It tells a story that was almost forgotten in a bear market, yet quietly turned around.
The beginning of the story is not fresh. A friend, let's call him L. In the fluctuating market of the past two months, his assets shrank severely. At the most difficult times, he withdrew funds from the market to cope with living expenses, and the account equity once seemed thin.
The time has come to late September. At that time, market sentiment was low, and the price of $COAI hovered in a very low range. After communicating with L, based on my judgment of the market structure, I established a tentative long position near 0.1495. In his own words: "The remaining amount, just pretend it doesn't exist, you handle it." — This is a nearly "numb" holding mentality.
The subsequent events are recorded in the contract history.
This trade was not accomplished overnight. It experienced severe fluctuations and washouts. The truly critical decision point occurred on October 9th in the morning, when the price rapidly surged above 5.1, and there was a clear momentum reduction and massive turnover in the market. We chose to close all positions, realizing a profit of 480,000 U.
This profit allowed the total account assets to leap over 1,060,000 U. From a deep drawdown to a new high, the core was capturing this surge driven by extreme pessimistic sentiment turning into liquidity-driven market behavior.
Looking back at this process, there are a few points worth contemplating:
The paradox of mindset: it was precisely L's 'numb' state of losing that prevented him from getting scared and exiting early during initial fluctuations, allowing him to hold his position.
Signal identification: Entry is based on structural support at the weekly level, while exit is based on short-term (such as 15 minutes) momentum exhaustion and selling structure. The logic framework for entering and exiting is different, but equally strict.
Matching odds with position: At extremely low levels with very high odds, using a 'loss-absorbing' position to bet on potential large fluctuations is a strategy with relatively favorable risk-return.
Opportunities in a bear market often appear in this form: in neglected corners, exhausting most people's patience with prolonged sideways movement and declines, and then completing price correction with a rapid and violent surge. It does not belong to those who trade frequently, but rather to those who have 'forgotten' their positions yet strictly adhere to discipline at critical junctures.
The current market is brewing similar structures in multiple corners. The next wave of the market will not be exactly like the past, but the core driving elements—extreme emotions, overlooked value gaps, and subsequent changes in liquidity—have never changed.
Whether one can seize this opportunity depends on whether you have the patience to wait for that exceptional odds position, and to hold when it feels 'numb', and act decisively when required. The market always rewards those who do their homework and remain clear-headed in places others cannot see.#coaiusdt #加密市场观察
