What future awaits the crypto market in December?

This paragraph discusses the price and liquidity of the gambling arena being depleted, mostly driven by leveraged orders during the weekend, which we often call the weekend pump.

If there's anything noteworthy, it’s looking at the monthly candles whenever BTC experiences a significant drop (usually a red candle dropping more than 15 thousand in price accompanied by wicks).

For example: after the dump in May 2021 and February 2025, a spinning top candle appeared, indicating hesitation from both sides after a strong BTC dump.

This type of candle usually appears after backtesting the old wick and preparing for a reversal (in this case, BTC is expected to bounce back after the spinning top appears).

So the appropriate scenario I see is that the December candle will backtest the old wick from November, with BTC returning to the 80k range (possibly due to news of the Fed lowering interest rates but accompanied by hawkish tones leading to profit-taking by funds).

After that, it forms a spinning top reversal candle and increases liquidity, preparing for the strongest crash of the cycle occurring during sell in May 2026.

Currently, the market has quite a few chaotic scenarios, but I think this could be the most noteworthy scenario. There will be bounces and crashes, but all of it is a setup for the big sell in May 2026 to complete the cycle.

According to you all, is there any worse scenario, or will there be any unexpected scenario occurring?

Will BTC at least have a bounce to complete the VDV model, or will there be no spring for us at all?

What do you think? Comment below to let me know 🫶