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币圈劳模
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Why hasn't the market moved recently? Could it be about to crash?
$GIGGLE
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币圈劳模
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止跌了，感觉狗庄要搞事情，先上了，回头再解释$GIGGLE
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能代去吗
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看时间，你是想短期回本就得玩山寨玩合约，多关注点alpha里面的好项目，，想中长期回本就玩主流币，开个小杠杆的空单，吃短期熊市的利息，反弹就加仓空。日元估计还得加息。现在还不是底。熬过熊市到了牛初就嗦哈主流币，把软件删了。过三月再看，大概率会收到惊喜
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拉黑就够了吧，抱紧干什么🤣🤣
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最近看到u价加下跌，很好奇算了一下套利价格。假设一万块人民币投进去，现在u价大概是6.95，那换算一下就是10000/6.95=1438.848921 再用港卡出金，现在港币对u价是7.83 那1438.8489x7.83=11266.186887 再换算成人民币那就是10232。 一万块套利最大利润232块，回报比大概在232/10000=0.0232=2.32% 反复倒十次那就是（1+0.0232)^10*10000=12577.818245 如果反复倒一百次那就是 （1+0.0232)^100*10000 = 99095.320599 ≈ 10w 利润将近翻了十倍 但是我们现在只算了纯收益，还没有计算极端风险，假设倒一次被抓进局子的风险概率为0.5%那倒十次没被抓的概率就是 (1-0.5%)^10=95.11% 如果是倒100次那还存活下来的概率就是 (1-0.5%)^100=60.57%~~半数存活 假假假设，鄙人贪心过足存活到了第第第999次，那第1000次不被按头的概率是 (1-0.5%)^1000=0.665%基本没活路~ 如果祖坟冒青烟能坚持到100~1000这个区间里，其实转的还是挺多的。就看有命赚还有命花不了🤣🤣 各位觉得这个风险大不大😂，欢迎讨论下$GIGGLE
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