This is the 8H daily trend of ZEC, and its trend is quite obvious, reaching a peak before forming a triple top and then falling, dropping from around 750 USD to about 300 USD!

The privacy track is long-term and in demand; from the K-line perspective, there is a chance to break the downtrend line, and it may rise to 378-390 USD this week (+5-7%). If it breaks the upper track of the 400 USD channel, it can be seen as a reversal signal.

If it loses the support of 300 USD, it may further drop to 273 USD (-25% risk). Suggestion: If RSI < 30, a small position can be taken long with a stop loss at 280 USD.

Mid-term opportunity (1-3 months): Neutral to bullish, privacy upgrades are key.

ZEC's Q4 roadmap includes NU7 upgrade and L2 privacy smart contracts, which may enhance usability (shielded adoption has reached ATH).

If regulatory risks ease (Grayscale ETF approval), the price could rebound to 510 USD (+42%).

However, the current fear index is 26 (Fear), and in the market's 'risk-averse' mode, ZEC is easily influenced by BTC.

Opportunity point: Buy at support levels, target 420 USD.

ZEC's fundamentals are strong (PoW fixed supply of 21M, similar to BTC halving), long-term (end of 2025) median forecast is 450-500 USD, but short-term volatility is high.