🔥 $BTC can drop after FOMC meeting? Real Challenge: If BTC hits $104K+ Next Week, I giveaway $5 to 10 traders 😼🔥
Before we jump to deeper logic, first understand the real market mood right now — everything look bullish on surface but inside the structure not that simple.
Now serious talk… rate cut expectation alredy priced in and traders alrdy sitting heavy long positions. Its mean less new people come to push price higher unless some bullish surprise come. Bullish surprise like: more than 25bps cut, or Powell clearly say more cuts ahead, or real soft CPI or job data release soon. Without that no fresh money flow.
Market pumped from $80k to $93k mostly on rate cut hype. OI very high now so if small drop, bigger liquidation cascade possible. If price drop to $86k, possible $600M+ long liquidated. If break below $80k then mid leverage wipe and $2B+ liquidation possible easy.
Money flow logic: stablecoin inflow rising mean people waiting on exchange for quick trade not long term buy, and BTC outflow without price pump show whales defensive not aggresive, like they protect posission not pushing price. This show market waiting for tone not number.
If FOMC gives 25bps cut with neutral tone then no surprise and already overhyped so more likely price down not up. And from $80k to $93k recovery primary reason was rate cut hype.
So yes upside possible but downmove chance bigger if tone mixed. Market run only on surprise not expectation. More expectation now useless.
If downside come, realistic range based on OI & liquidation clusters is $88k-$86k first zone, and if break then $82k-$80k danger zone where mid leverage wipe possible.
Drop first then maybe real bull after pure soft data.
Guys don't think I challenge you… if you win then you win prize and if you lose you dont need to do anything. I also want market pump honestly, so think this like friendly tip not challenge.
comment your take 😼🔥
$AIA $SOL #BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #TrumpTariffs
Before we jump to deeper logic, first understand the real market mood right now — everything look bullish on surface but inside the structure not that simple.
Now serious talk… rate cut expectation alredy priced in and traders alrdy sitting heavy long positions. Its mean less new people come to push price higher unless some bullish surprise come. Bullish surprise like: more than 25bps cut, or Powell clearly say more cuts ahead, or real soft CPI or job data release soon. Without that no fresh money flow.
Market pumped from $80k to $93k mostly on rate cut hype. OI very high now so if small drop, bigger liquidation cascade possible. If price drop to $86k, possible $600M+ long liquidated. If break below $80k then mid leverage wipe and $2B+ liquidation possible easy.
Money flow logic: stablecoin inflow rising mean people waiting on exchange for quick trade not long term buy, and BTC outflow without price pump show whales defensive not aggresive, like they protect posission not pushing price. This show market waiting for tone not number.
If FOMC gives 25bps cut with neutral tone then no surprise and already overhyped so more likely price down not up. And from $80k to $93k recovery primary reason was rate cut hype.
So yes upside possible but downmove chance bigger if tone mixed. Market run only on surprise not expectation. More expectation now useless.
If downside come, realistic range based on OI & liquidation clusters is $88k-$86k first zone, and if break then $82k-$80k danger zone where mid leverage wipe possible.
Drop first then maybe real bull after pure soft data.
Guys don't think I challenge you… if you win then you win prize and if you lose you dont need to do anything. I also want market pump honestly, so think this like friendly tip not challenge.
comment your take 😼🔥
$AIA $SOL #BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #TrumpTariffs
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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