🗓️ Date 5/12/2025 – Supplement chart for a clearer overall picture
I added a chart to help everyone visualize the market trends during the periods when the BOJ raised interest rates. The common point is very clear: the week the BOJ announces an interest rate hike is a week of decline, and this decline carries over into the following month.
Below are previous instances:
🔹 Instance 1:
BOJ raised the interest rate on 19/3/2024 → that week declined
April/2024 continued to decline
🔹 Instance 2:
BOJ raised the interest rate on 31/7/2024 → that week declined
August/2024 continued to decline
🔹 Instance 3:
BOJ raised the interest rate on 24/1/2025 → that week declined
February/2025 continued to decline
🔹 Instance 4 (expected):
If the BOJ raises interest rates on 19/12/2025, it is highly likely:
That week will be a week of decline
January/2026 will continue to be a month of decline according to the old pattern
👉 Thus, next week the market still has room to rally to complete the target, before entering a decline phase following the familiar pattern of the BOJ.
