I am Anna. This afternoon at four o'clock, the one-hour line for SOL closed at 136.41, down 2.03%, and the market looks a bit 'soft.' Many people are asking me: Anna, is SOL going to crash? Don't worry, I'll guide you through the signals behind it, picture by picture.
1. News analysis:
Today at noon, Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko spoke on social media: the total market value of cryptocurrencies will continue to rise, but in the future, it will be a 'market share competition' among various chains. Is this statement a signal to buy, or does it contain a warning?
Anna's viewpoint: This is not a signal for a bull market, but a preview of the 'elimination round'.
What the big shots say actually has two meanings:
The total market cap will rise: In the long term, the crypto market will continue to expand.
But it's not a level playing field: only a few capable public chains will survive, while others may be eliminated.
It's like the mobile market a few years ago: Nokia fell, and Apple and Huawei rose. In the future, only chains with strong ecosystems, many users, and stable income can survive. Solana says this, clearly trying to 'campaign' for itself, but it also reminds us: don't blindly believe; look at the substance.
Impact on players: Is the coin in your hand one that can perform?
If your position is mainly in mainstream public chains (such as SOL, ETH, etc.), you can relax a bit - they are more likely to survive.
But if it's those 'shanzhai chains' that have no ecosystem, no users, and rely solely on speculation, you need to be alert. A market rise does not mean all coins will rise; capital will be more concentrated.
For example: In the 2021 bull market, BTC and ETH rose, but many small coins went to zero. This kind of differentiation will only become more obvious in the future.
2. Technical aspect: A dead cross has appeared, but the story is just beginning
First, look at the MACD, the white and yellow lines have both fallen below the 0 axis and formed a dead cross - this is a typical bearish signal. But be careful, the MACD bars are shortening (-0.23), indicating that the downward momentum is actually weakening. Here's a hook: often after a dead cross, there is not an immediate crash, but a wave of 'rebound traps.'
Looking again at RSI and MFI, both are hovering around 40, neither oversold nor strong, the market is in wait-and-see mode. But the trading volume is shrinking, indicating that selling pressure is temporarily not large - this is actually a sign of a trend change.
Key positions: These four numbers determine your profit and loss tonight
There are several numbers on the chart that you need to engrave in your mind:
Upper pressure: 143 (intraday pressure) → 151 (pullback pressure)
Lower support: 138 (the dividing line between long and short) → 133 (intraday support) → 129 (rebound support)
My view is: Currently, the SOL one-hour chart shows a dead cross pointing down, but the intensity of the decline is weakening, and there is a short-term rebound demand. The key positions are clear: upper pressure at 143, lower dividing line at 138, strong support at 129.
Players' response strategies:
Short term (within 1 day): If 138 holds, you can take a small position to bet on a rebound, targeting around 143, in and out quickly.
Medium term (this week): If the rebound reaches the 143-151 area, you can reduce your position in batches or try shorting, with strong support around 129 before considering bottom-fishing.
Note: The market may rebound first and then fall, don't be misled by 'the bull market is back.' Control your position, don't chase highs or panic sell.
Follow @南安娜sol , and wait together for the real bottom signal to appear.
Anna's heartfelt words: Trading coins is not gambling; it's a strategic game
I have seen too many people get liquidated because of a coin, and I have also seen some people turn the tables with patience. Currently, SOL is still in a bearish trend, but that doesn't mean there are no opportunities. The key is to have your own plan:
Position control: Don't go all in!
Stop loss resolutely: If it breaks 138, you have to exit, don't fantasize.
Combine news: Recently pay attention to the Solana ecosystem dynamics, any positive project could drive emotional rebounds.
Do you want to catch the starting point of the next rebound?
Anna will share real-time points and operational logic in the Shanzhai every day, not only telling you 'where to buy,' but also 'why to buy.' For example, this time at the key point of SOL at 138, I will remind and track the trend in advance. Follow@南安娜sol , not just for following trades, but to learn to judge the market yourself. The public chain war has already begun, besides SOL, several chains are quietly laying out their ecosystems and attracting developers. One chain, recently has been collaborating continuously, yet its token has not been significantly pulled up...
Next week, I will specifically write an article (the underestimated public chain dark horse) to help you ambush in advance.
The market is always changing, but logic does not change. Follow @南安娜sol , to get more grounded market breakdowns and practical skills. Specific directions and points will be announced in the Shanzhai, if you want to fight alongside Anna's community, become a member of Anna's community!
The market will never close, opportunities are always there.
But only those who survive can wait for the next bull market.
