$BTC

Brief Analysis

1. Current Situation:

The current price of Bitcoin is approximately $90,000, and micro models suggest that the 'fair price' is around this level.

Technical indicators such as the monthly MACD histogram have given a negative signal, similar to what was observed at the beginning of previous major downturns.

Market uncertainty and monetary policy approaches, such as that of the Federal Reserve, are playing a significant role.

2. Key Opportunities and Risks:

Opportunity: If Bitcoin breaks above the $94,000–$97,000 range, the next target could be $100,000 or even higher.

Risk: If the $80,000 level breaks, further decline is possible.

The long-term potential to prove itself as 'digital gold' exists, provided institutional investment and acceptance increase.

3. In my opinion, the short-term direction:

Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase — the market is in a wait-and-see situation. The key to movement in the coming weeks will be fundamental economic indicators, bearish or bullish trends, and the behavior of large investors. It is better to be cautious than bullish at this time.

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